UK time :

Mostar Dreams

Mostar Dreams is a 5-year-old with a workmanlike record: four wins from thirty races, which means it wins roughly once every seven or eight attempts. That is honest rather than spectacular, but the horse has shown glimpses of something more consistent when the conditions and the company align. The most telling detail is Mostar Dreams' love of fast, dry ground — on those surfaces, the win rate jumps to one win from four races. That is nearly double its overall record and suggests the horse genuinely runs better when the track is firm underfoot.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Saxon Warrior
Mother
Hope So
Trainer
Adrian Keatley
Owner
J Fyffe A Edmondson L Mcgurty
Official rating
95

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
30
Career races
4
Wins
13.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
53.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
15 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The most interesting aspect of Mostar Dreams' profile is its absolute dominance at Carlisle, where it has won two of its six races there. That is the kind of course record that matters; many horses never find a track that suits them, but this one clearly has a place where it thrives. Its last win came at Newcastle on January 9, 2026, nine months ago, and since then it has been placed but not won in its last six runs. That is a dry spell, though recent form shows it is still in the mix — a third place and a fourth in the last few outings suggest the horse is competitive even without breaking through.

Adrian Keatley's Ryedale yard has enjoyed a strong season with 43 winners, and Mostar Dreams does its best work in Class 4 company, where it has won three of thirteen races. Alongside jockey Andrew Mullen, the partnership has produced one win from eight races together, which matches the horse's overall rate. Mostar Dreams races most often at around 1m1f to 1m2f, distances where it has won once from four attempts. The horse was last in the paddock just one day ago, so it remains an active runner and could well be aimed at Carlisle again — the one place where Mostar Dreams consistently delivers.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
3 Oct
7th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
5 Sep
9th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
8 Aug
9th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
26 Jul
3rd
Pontefract
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
7 Jul
4th
Pontefract
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
24 Jun
2nd
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
6 Feb
9th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
9 Jan
🏆 Won
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 6 runners
26 Nov
3rd
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
8 Nov
19th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Heavy · 21 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
25%
Win rate
2/8
Wins / rides
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Lauren Young
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Shay Farmer
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Carlisle
Undulating
6 2 wins, 2 seconds, 2 other 24 Jun 33.3%
Haydock Park
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 8 Aug 25%
Ayr
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 19 Sep 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 26 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
3 3 other 21 Aug 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 6 Feb 50%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 5 Sep 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 8 Nov 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
2 2 thirds 22 Sep 0%
chelmsford 1 1 third 26 Nov 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 third 25 May 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Oct 0%