Miss Tonnerre

Her recent form suggests she has hit a wall. In her last six races, she has failed to win, with results of fourth, thirteenth, fourth, tenth, seventh, and seventh — a scatter of mid-field finishes and one poor run that speaks to genuine struggles. Her overall record of 1 win and 1 place from 9 races works out to roughly a 1-in-9 chance of winning, though the real concern is that she has not tasted victory in over two years. When stepped up to the highest level of racing — the top-class races where the best horses compete — she has managed nothing from 4 attempts, a record that suggests she may simply not be quite good enough for that stage.

Trainer Ed Walker, based at Upper Lambourn in Berkshire, had evidently seen real talent when he first sent her out. She recalls her impressive debut as the moment she believed she could develop into something special, and noted that she prefers racing on wet or muddy ground. Her yard has been prolific this season with 76 winners, but Miss Tonnerre has not been one of the success stories. She is still active — her last race was just a day ago — but the pattern is clear: a brilliant opening chapter followed by a long, quiet decline into mid-field obscurity.