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Miss Alpilles

There is a horse that took three full years of racing to figure out what it actually liked — and once it did, it won one of the biggest races in the British calendar. Miss Alpilles is a five-year-old with three wins and seven places from 17 races, meaning she wins roughly 1 in every 6 outings, which on paper looks modest. But the story behind those numbers is far more interesting than the numbers themselves.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Sea The Stars
Mother
Alma Linda
Trainer
Owner
John Pearce Racing Ltd
Rating
100

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
17
Career races
3
Wins
17.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trainer Ed Walker, who operates out of Upper Lambourn in Berkshire and has sent out 76 winners this season alone, was convinced early on that Miss Alpilles had the talent to compete in the Oaks — the premier race in Britain for her age group. Instead, she spent years being, in Walker's own words, "horrifically disappointing." She finally broke her duck at Haydock Park in July 2024, and even then the team drew the wrong conclusion, deciding she needed wet, muddy ground to perform. It took jockey Kieran Shoemark riding her at Ffos Las and reporting that she clearly hated soft ground to make them think again. They switched to fast, dry ground at Goodwood — and she flew.

The payoff came at Newmarket on 25 September 2025, when Miss Alpilles won a Class 1 race, meaning one of the very top races in the country. That is an extraordinary leap for a horse who had spent most of her career competing in Class 4 company, the more everyday level of racing, where she had managed just 1 win from 9 attempts. Her last six races read 5-2-3-1-1-2, with the two wins sitting right in the middle of that sequence — a horse who has genuinely found her form rather than stumbling into a good day.

Shoemark has been the key figure in unlocking her, winning 2 of his 5 rides together, a rate of 40% — extraordinary by any measure when you consider that most top jockeys win around 1 in 8 races across a full season. On normal ground, she has won 2 of her 6 attempts, a rate of roughly 1 in 3, which is a strong return. Walker has now set his sights on the Sagaro Stakes at Ascot, a prestigious staying race, describing her as a "fun mare for staying races." Given everything it took to get here, that might be understating it considerably.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
Effective partnership with Kieran Shoemark: 40% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
1M6F – 2M
Ok
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 Jun
5th
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
23 May
2nd
York
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
1 May
3rd
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
25 Sep
🏆 Won
Newmarket
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
23 Aug
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
3 Aug
2nd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
11 Jul
10th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
29 Jun
5th
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 9 runners
31 May
DNF
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
11 May
8th
Newcastle
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Kieran Shoemark Current Jockey
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 third, 3 other 18 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 11 May 0%
Chester
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 3 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 5 Jul 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 win 25 Sep 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 win 23 Aug 100%
York
Galloping
1 1 second 23 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%