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Miss Alpilles

There is a horse in Ed Walker's Upper Lambourn yard who has spent most of her career racing at the bread-and-butter level of the sport — and then, almost out of nowhere, went and won one of the biggest races in Britain. That is the strange and compelling story of Miss Alpilles.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Sea The Stars
Mother
Alma Linda
Trainer
Owner
John Pearce Racing Ltd
Rating
98

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
3
Wins
21.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
215 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

For most of her 14-race career, she has been a Class 4 regular, the kind of mid-tier races that fill out a typical race day card. At that level she has won just 1 from 9, which is a modest return and suggests she was perhaps being underestimated, or simply waiting for the right moment. Her overall record — 3 wins and 5 places from 14 races, so wins coming roughly 1 in every 5 times out — is solid without ever screaming superstar. And yet on 25 September 2025, she turned up at Newmarket and won a Class 1 race, the very top tier of British racing. That is a remarkable leap, the racing equivalent of a pub league footballer scoring in a cup final.

Her recent run of form tells its own story. Going back through her last six races — ignoring one result where she was pulled up or didn't finish — she has posted a fifth, a tenth, a second, and then back-to-back wins. That sequence matters. The tenth looks like a blip now, sandwiched between a recovery run and then a genuine purple patch. Two wins from her last six races is a sharp uptick for a horse who had previously found winning hard work.

She is most comfortable on normal ground, winning 2 from 5 races in those conditions — 40%, which is a genuinely strong number. On softer or faster surfaces the results have been quieter, so the ground will always be worth watching with her.

Ed Walker's yard has had a productive season, sending out 76 winners, which puts this firmly in the category of operations that know how to place a horse well and peak them at the right time. Miss Alpilles hasn't raced for six months now, which is a long break for a 4-year-old with momentum. Whether she returns as the horse who beat the best in Britain, or whether that Newmarket win was a once-in-a-career afternoon, is the question worth staying curious about.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Returning from a 215-day absence

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
1M6F – 2M
Ok
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 Sep
🏆 Won
Newmarket
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
23 Aug
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
3 Aug
2nd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
11 Jul
10th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
29 Jun
5th
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 9 runners
31 May
DNF
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
11 May
8th
Newcastle
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
9 Oct
4th
Nottingham
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 6 runners
13 Sep
5th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
5 Jul
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 11 May 0%
Chester
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 3 Aug 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 win 25 Sep 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 win 23 Aug 100%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 5 Jul 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Oct 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Apr 0%