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Miss Alpilles

Miss Alpilles is a slow burner who has finally found her feet on the racecourse. The five-year-old has won just three of her eighteen races, a modest 17 per cent win rate, but what matters is the timing: she has won twice in her last six outings, most recently pulling off a top-tier victory at Newmarket on 25 September 2025. That win came after a long drought — nearly ten months without a success — which makes the breakthrough all the more significant.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Sea The Stars
Mother
Alma Linda
Trainer
E Walker
Owner
John Pearce Racing Ltd
Official rating
109

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
18
Career races
3
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
84 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What's intriguing about Miss Alpilles is how her trainer Ed Walker cracked the code. She was a disappointment as a younger horse, and the team spent years chasing the wrong ground conditions. The turning point came when jockey Kieran Shoemark suggested she actually despised the soft, muddy going everyone assumed suited her. Once switched to fast, dry ground, she blossomed. That Newmarket victory was on exactly those conditions, and it vindicated the new approach entirely. With Shoemark in the saddle, Miss Alpilles wins at a healthy 40 per cent rate — two victories from five races together — suggesting the pair have found genuine chemistry.

The horse shows clear preferences that now guide her campaign. She performs best at longer distances beyond two miles, where she has won one of three races, and she clearly prefers normal ground conditions. Walker has bigger plans than simply repeating recent form: he was considering testing Miss Alpilles in the Sagaro Stakes at Ascot, a proper staying race. At five years old, after years of searching for the right recipe, she may finally be entering a productive phase. The mare that once looked like classic potential and then disappointed for years has become exactly what Walker suspected she could be — a genuinely fun horse for the longer distances, now that her the yard understand how to run her.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 25% win rate
✔ Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 33% win rate
✔ Effective partnership with Kieran Shoemark: 40% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Jul
6th
Goodwood
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
18 Jun
5th
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
23 May
2nd
York
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
1 May
3rd
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
25 Sep
🏆 Won
Newmarket
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
23 Aug
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
3 Aug
2nd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
11 Jul
10th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
29 Jun
5th
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 9 runners
31 May
DNF
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
40%
Win rate
2/5
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 third, 3 other 18 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 11 May 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 28 Jul 50%
Chester
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 3 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 5 Jul 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 win 25 Sep 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 second 23 May 0%