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Metal Merchant

Four wins from 25 races might not sound like a headline statistic, but with Metal Merchant, context is everything. The six-year-old has spent most of his career competing in some of the toughest mile handicaps in Britain — the kind of races where simply finishing in the top few is an achievement — and his record of winning roughly 1 in every 6 races, along with 9 places, reflects a horse who has consistently held his own at the highest level.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Whipped
Owner
Recycled Products Limited
Rating
90

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
4
Wins
16%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The standout moment of his career so far came at Newbury on 20 April 2024, when he won the Spring Cup — one of the most prestigious mile handicaps of the spring season, a Class 2 race that attracts the best horses in the country at that distance. His trainer at the time, Jack Channon, described it as a very smart performance, and noted that Metal Merchant had been transformed by a surgical procedure over the previous winter. He had shown ability as a younger horse, but it was only after that point that he truly came into his own. A run at Royal Ascot in the Royal Hunt Cup — one of the most famous and competitive handicaps of the entire flat season — underlined that he belonged in the best company.

Brian Toomey now has the horse in his care, based at Chalfont St Giles in Buckinghamshire, and the yard has sent out 10 winners already this season, suggesting it is in good form. Metal Merchant raced just one day ago, so he is very much an active horse. He has not won in his last six races, and his most recent form figures — 13-20-12-10-9-4 — show a horse who has been running respectably without finding the winner's enclosure. A fourth-place finish is his best recent effort.

On normal ground, he is a different proposition entirely. In 8 races on standard conditions he has won 2 of them — a win rate of 25%, or 1 in every 4 — which is considerably better than his overall figures suggest. That selectivity matters: when conditions suit him, he becomes a serious contender. His regular jockey David Probert has ridden him in 9 races together, winning once, though their partnership is still developing. With Toomey reportedly eyeing another crack at Newbury's Spring Cup, the race where Metal Merchant made his name, there is a clear and sensible plan for a horse who clearly has one more big day in him.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
22 May
13th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners
28 Mar
20th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
10 May
12th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 19 runners
12 Apr
10th
Newbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
25 Aug
9th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
27 Jul
4th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 18 runners
6 Jul
7th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
19 Jun
7th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 31 runners
18 May
2nd
Newbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
20 Apr
🏆 Won
Newbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 21 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
11.1%
Win rate
1/9
Won / Rode
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 third, 4 other 10 May 16.7%
Newbury
Galloping
5 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 other 12 Apr 20%
Newmarket
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 4 Nov 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
3 3 other 22 May 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Jul 0%
chelmsford 1 1 win 7 Jun 100%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 win 17 Sep 100%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 23 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Mar 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 third 27 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Mar 0%