Mesaafi

The encouraging news is that Mesaafi is in form right now. He won at Kempton Park just last week on 5 October, and before that he finished second, showing he is heading in the right direction. His recent six races tell a story of near-misses and solid efforts: second place, then a win, then some harder days down the card, a third-place finish, and two runs outside the money. Jack Mitchell, his most regular jockey, has ridden him seven times and won once together, suggesting there is room for them to click more often as Mesaafi continues racing. This is a horse that probably won't win tomorrow, but he is exactly the sort that catches you by surprise with a victory when conditions suit him and the odds drift a touch.