Madman

The horse runs best on fast, dry ground: from 6 races on such conditions, it has won twice and placed twice, a 33% win rate that is nearly double its overall average. This is the kind of detail that matters—trainers Rachel Cook and John Bridger, operating from their yard at Liphook in Hampshire, will be watching the weather forecast carefully. The pair have had 7 winners this season, a solid output for a smaller operation.

Windsor is Madman's happy hunting ground. From 6 races there, it has won twice—a one-in-three record that suggests the track suits its running style. Madman tends to compete at lower levels of racing, and while a 1-in-8 win rate at Class 6 is modest, the recent upswing suggests the horse may be improving. Jockey Alec Voikhansky rides it occasionally and has one win from six outings together. With a recent win already banked and signs of consistency in its last half-dozen runs, Madman appears to be a horse hitting its stride.