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Macs Dilemma

Macs Dilemma is a veteran at eight years old who has spent the best part of a decade grinding away in the lower ranks of British racing, winning 7 races from 46 outings. The gaps between victories tell the real story: his last win came at Chepstow on 10 July 2023, nearly three and a half years ago now. Since then, across 23 races, he has not found the line in front even once.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Coulsty
Mother
Ohsosecret
Owner
The Cross Racing Club
Official rating
52

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
46
Career races
7
Wins
15.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
39.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
21 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Macs Dilemma worth watching, though, is his clear preference for fast, dry ground. On such conditions he has won 4 of his 14 races — nearly one in three, compared to his overall win rate of one in seven. He also performs noticeably better over the shorter distances, particularly between 5 furlongs and 6½ furlongs, where he has won 3 of 10 races. John O'Shea's yard at Newham-on-Severn has found the mark with him in the past, and jockey Gina Mangan, his most regular partner, has steered him home twice from 13 rides together. The challenge is that he typically races in Class 4 — the lower tier of competition — and even there, he has managed only 1 win from 17 attempts. Just as notably, his recent form is poor. In his last six races, all run in the past month, he has not finished higher than fourth, though he was a shade unlucky in one outing when running fifth. Still, at eight years old and nearly three years without a victory, Macs Dilemma is a horse running out of time to prove his earlier promise was anything more than fleeting.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 4 wins from 14 starts (29%)
✔ Course specialist at Chepstow: 4 wins from 19 starts (21%)
✔ Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 30% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
7F – 1M
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, hilly
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Sep
5th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
3 Sep
7th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
22 Jul
10th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
2 Jul
7th
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
7 Jun
4th
Chepstow
7f – 1m · Soft · 8 runners
13 May
12th
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
15 Sep
7th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
2 Sep
3rd
Brighton
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
26 Aug
6th
Chepstow
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
8 Aug
2nd
Brighton
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
15.4%
Win rate
2/13
Wins / rides
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Wins / rides
Adam McNamara
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Mollie Phillips
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
Ciaran Mckee
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Millie Wonnacott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
William Carson Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Chepstow
Galloping
19 4 wins, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 11 other 2 Jul 21.1%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
8 1 win, 1 second, 6 other 28 Sep 12.5%
Brighton
Undulating
6 1 win, 1 second, 2 thirds, 2 other 2 Sep 16.7%
Bath
Undulating
4 1 win, 3 other 3 Sep 25%
Windsor
Sharp
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 15 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 28 Sep 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Dec 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 25 Sep 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 6 Jan 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Feb 0%