Lord Roxby came alive as a racehorse at Beverley in August 2024, and has won just three times since—most recently at Ripon four weeks ago. What jumps out is his preference for normal ground conditions, where he has won 3 of his 11 races, a win rate of roughly 27 percent. That is genuinely strong form, and it matters when planning his races. Tinkler knows his horse can be keen and difficult to settle, a trait that has bitten him before, most recently at Newbury when Lord Roxby ran respectably but unideally to finish sixth. The trainer sees a horse that needs the right trip and the right conditions to show his best.
At Class 4 level, Lord Roxby has won just 1 from 12 races—8 percent—which tells you he is hovering at the edge of his ceiling at that grade. Ridden most often by Rowan Scott, who has steered him to 2 wins from 16 outings together, he has been placed 11 times in his last 25 races, a testament to consistency if not to the victories his the yard believe he deserves. His current rating of 81 positions him for races aimed at horses rated 80 or lower, and there is a sense from Tinkler that dropping back in trip to 7 furlongs could unlock something, perhaps at a track like York where the pace suits him, or at Southwell where the fast ground and strong gallop help him relax. After a run just over a week ago that ended 11th, he remains an active prospect, though one waiting for all the pieces to finally align.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York Galloping |
4 | 1 win, 3 other | 13 Jun | 25% |
| Ripon Sharp |
3 | 1 win, 1 third, 1 other | 15 Aug | 33.3% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
2 | 1 win, 1 third | 15 Jun | 50% |
| Beverley Undulating |
2 | 1 win, 1 other | 23 Apr | 50% |
| Leicester Sharp |
2 | 1 second, 1 third | 10 Aug | 0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 28 Aug | 0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 9 May | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 17 May | 0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 17 Sep | 0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 20 Jul | 0% |
| Chester Tight |
1 | 1 other | 12 Jul | 0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 | 1 third | 1 Sep | 0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 2 Aug | 0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 1 Nov | 0% |
| chelmsford | 1 | 1 other | 16 Oct | 0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 20 Sep | 0% |