Leonie

The worry is form. She hasn't returned to the winner's circle in five months, and her last six runs tell a story of inconsistency: a tenth-place finish most recently, then a sixth, a first, two thirds, and a fourth before that. There is nothing in that sequence to suggest she is moving in the wrong direction, but neither does it feel like a horse about to break through again. At Kingsclere, where Andrew Balding has been sending out winners at a healthy clip this season, Leonie will have every opportunity to regain her touch, but she needs to prove she can do better than flashing glimpses of promise followed by quieter days. She is still young enough to develop into something more, but the next few races will matter.