Law of Supply
Law of Supply is a horse caught in that frustrating middle ground—promising enough to keep his the yard interested, but not quite consistent enough to deliver it regularly. The 8-year-old has won 2 of his 15 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in 7, and hasn't found the winner's circle in almost two years. His last victory came at Ascot back in November 2024, which now feels like a lifetime ago in racing terms.Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What makes Law of Supply worth watching, though, is what trainer Kim Bailey has noticed: the horse performs significantly better over fences than on the flat. His most recent form shows a second-place finish just two days ago, suggesting he's still competitive and still being given chances by his yard. At Class 4 level—mid-tier racing—he's won 1 from 9 races, which is modest, but his Worcester victory in October 2024 was described as impressive, and Bailey has clearly seen something in him that justifies continued investment. The trainer took on the horse after the owner passed away, having been asked to find him a chaser, which hints at genuine belief rather than routine campaigning.
Jockey Tom Bellamy has ridden him five times and won once together—a 20% win rate that's better than the horse's overall record, though the sample is small. Law of Supply is actively racing and currently in work, which at eight years old means he still has something to prove. The real question isn't whether he can win again; it's whether he'll string together the consistency his the yard clearly hope for.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Likes
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Likes
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
1 Oct
2nd
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
1 Apr
2nd
Wincanton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
20 Dec
DNF
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
25 Nov
4th
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
19 Oct
DNF
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
19 Apr
3rd
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
1 Mar
4th
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
12 Dec
3rd
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
22 Nov
🏆 Won
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
16 Oct
🏆 Won
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 14 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| hereford |
3 |
3 other |
20 Dec |
0% |
| Exeter Undulating |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
19 Mar |
0% |
| Worcester Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
16 Oct |
100% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
22 Nov |
100% |
| Taunton Undulating |
1 |
1 third |
12 Dec |
0% |
| Wincanton Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
1 Apr |
0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
1 Oct |
0% |
| Ffos Las Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
16 Feb |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
1 Mar |
0% |
| Huntingdon Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
19 Apr |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
19 Oct |
0% |
| Chepstow Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
10 Apr |
0% |