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Law Of Supply

Fourteen races into its career, Law Of Supply has shown enough ability to win twice and place six more times — a record that suggests a horse that competes honestly without ever quite dominating. That 14% win rate, roughly 1 in every 7 races, tells the story of a horse that is there or thereabouts but has found winning a relatively rare achievement. At eight years old, it is a mature animal with a clear profile: consistent enough to keep turning up in the placings, but not the type to string wins together.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Mahler
Mother
Nina Fontenail
Owner
Andrew Lay's Legacy
Rating
112

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
2
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The two victories on its CV are genuinely interesting when you look at them. The first came at Worcester in October 2024, and then just over a month later Law Of Supply won at Ascot — one of the most prestigious venues in British racing. Getting a winner at Ascot is no small thing, and doing it in November 2024 gives the horse a notable entry on its record. Since then, however, it has gone 16 months without adding to that tally, running six times without winning. The recent form of 2–4–3–4 shows a horse still finishing in and around the places, but the wins have dried up.

Most of Law Of Supply's career has been spent at Class 4 level — solid, competitive racing without being the very top tier — and the numbers there are honest rather than impressive: 1 win from 9 races at that level, or just over 1 in every 9. Trained by Kim Bailey and Mat Nicholls out of their Cheltenham yard, the horse is in capable hands — the team has sent out 31 winners already this season, so they clearly know what they are doing. Whether they can find the right race to get Law Of Supply back to the winner's enclosure for the first time since Ascot is the question worth watching.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Heavy (very wet)
Good to soft
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3
Class 4
Ok
Class 5
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Loves
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Loves
Wide and galloping
Avoids
Right-handed, undulating
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 Apr
2nd
Wincanton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
20 Dec
DNF
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
25 Nov
4th
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
19 Oct
DNF
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
19 Apr
3rd
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
1 Mar
4th
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
12 Dec
3rd
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
22 Nov
🏆 Won
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
16 Oct
🏆 Won
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 14 runners
19 Mar
3rd
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Tom Bellamy Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
hereford 3 3 other 20 Dec 0%
Exeter
Undulating
2 1 third, 1 other 19 Mar 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Oct 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 win 22 Nov 100%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Mar 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Oct 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 third 19 Apr 0%
Wincanton
Galloping
1 1 second 1 Apr 0%
Taunton
Undulating
1 1 third 12 Dec 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Feb 0%