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Lavender Hill Mob

Five wins from 26 races works out at roughly 1 in every 5 — a solid return for any horse in competitive company. But the story of Lavender Hill Mob is a little more complicated than that headline figure suggests, and all the more interesting for it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Expert Eye
Mother
Whazzat
Trainer
Owner
The Gredley Family
Rating
94

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
26
Career races
5
Wins
19.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The five-year-old made a winning debut at Lingfield Park in January 2024, and has since built a career record that shows genuine ability mixed with a tendency to run into better horses. That tendency becomes very clear at Class 2 level — some of the highest-quality races in Britain — where Lavender Hill Mob has been tried seven times without a win. It is not unusual for a horse to struggle at that level, but seven attempts with nothing to show is a pattern worth noting. The horse places regularly enough, finishing in the top three in 11 of 26 races, but converting those near-misses at the top level has proven elusive.

Where the profile becomes genuinely interesting is over a trip of one mile and one furlong to one mile and two furlongs. At that distance, the record reads two wins from six races — winning a third of the time, which is a sharp uptick from the overall average and suggests the horse is at its best when given a little room to travel and finish. The last of those wins came at Cheltenham in November 2025, and it was a race that had a story attached. Jockey Sam Twiston-Davies went the wide, outside route despite having gone the shorter, inner path in the previous race — a call that looked questionable in the moment and brilliant in hindsight. Trainer James Owen had been insistent. He was right.

Owen trains out of Newmarket and has had a remarkable season — 205 winners sent out by the yard, a figure that puts him firmly among the busiest and most successful operations in the country. His comments suggest he sees Lavender Hill Mob as a horse with real physical presence and potential, particularly on soft or muddy ground, and that longer-term ambitions include one of the bigger jump racing prizes. The horse raced just one day ago, so whatever comes next is imminent.

The recent form reads 14-6-8-6-1-3, which shows a winner buried in there but a horse that has not hit those heights since. With the right conditions underfoot and the right distance, though, Owen and his team clearly believe there is more to come.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 12 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Jun
14th
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
17 Apr
6th
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
28 Mar
8th
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
6 Dec
6th
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
15 Nov
🏆 Won
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 13 runners
25 Sep
3rd
Newmarket
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
28 Jun
10th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 20 runners
17 Jun
11th
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
16 May
🏆 Won
Newmarket
1m6f – 2m · Good · 5 runners
3 May
4th
Newmarket
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
Mason Paetel
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newmarket
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 third, 4 other 25 Sep 16.7%
Cheltenham
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 15 Nov 33.3%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 26 Jan 33.3%
Ascot
Galloping
3 3 other 16 Jun 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 25 May 50%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 win 20 Jan 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 third 15 Feb 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 third 2 Mar 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 third 1 Apr 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Dec 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Mar 0%