Yet there are patches of form worth noting. When Jason Watson gets the ride, something clicks—together they've won 2 of 5 races, a 40% win rate that towers above Kotari's career average. The horse also shows a clear preference for certain conditions and distances. On normal ground, it wins 1 in every 5 races, compared to whatever struggles come on softer or faster surfaces. At distances between a mile and three furlongs and a mile and four furlongs, Kotari has won 2 of 7 races—nearly 30%, which is where the horse runs its best. Gary and Josh Moore's yard at Lower Beeding, in West Sussex, has put out 99 winners this season and clearly knows how to find competitive spots for their runners.
The horse was still active just yesterday, so there is racing left in the calendar. But the math is unforgiving: 3 wins from 29 races represents a journeyman stayer that has long since peaked. Kotari may yet find another winning race, perhaps one at its ideal distance on the right ground with Watson in the saddle, but at seven years old and nearly three years between victories, the window is closing fast.
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plumpton Sharp |
4 | 2 thirds, 2 other | 9 Mar | 0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
3 | 1 win, 2 other | 8 Sep | 33.3% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
3 | 1 win, 2 other | 14 May | 33.3% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
3 | 3 other | 23 Mar | 0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
3 | 3 other | 17 Jul | 0% |
| Fontwell Park Tight |
2 | 2 other | 28 Aug | 0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
2 | 2 other | 11 Oct | 0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 11 May | 100% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 25 Sep | 0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 23 Oct | 0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 21 Sep | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 9 Nov | 0% |
| Bath Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 5 Jun | 0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 8 Oct | 0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 | 1 third | 28 Jul | 0% |
| Taunton Undulating |
1 | 1 third | 12 Dec | 0% |