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Jonquil

Jonquil has won two of the biggest races of the season and shown the ability to compete at the highest level, but right now this four-year-old is in a difficult patch. The horse has four wins from twelve races overall — a respectable win rate of one victory in every three attempts — yet the recent form tells a story of inconsistency. In the last six races, Jonquil has finished eighth, third, seventh, ninth, first, and seventh. That solitary win came four months ago at Ascot in early May, and there has been nothing since despite racing just last week.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Lope De Vega
Mother
Jovial
Trainer
A M Balding
Owner
Juddmonte
Official rating
113

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
12
Career races
4
Wins
33.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
59 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Where Jonquil shines is in top-class races. When competing at Class 1 level — one of the best races in Britain — the horse wins two out of every five times it runs, a win rate of 40 percent that suggests this is a genuine operator at the elite end of the sport. The victories tell the tale: a breakthrough win at Sandown Park in late August 2024, followed by a Class 1 success at Newbury in April this year, then a high-profile win at Goodwood in late August 2025. These are significant wins at prestigious venues.

The problem is consistency away from those peak days. Jonquil struggles to perform between the Class 1 races, finishing outside the placings far more often than ideal. This pattern — flashing brilliance followed by long quiet spells — suggests a horse that needs the right race, the right conditions, or possibly some fresh thinking from the yard. Trainer A M Balding, who runs the successful Kingsclere operation in Hampshire and has sent out 202 winners this season alone, will be looking to find the trigger that fires Jonquil back into form. The horse is still racing regularly, still young at four, and has proven it belongs in top company. The question now is whether that next Class 1 opportunity will reignite what has been a frustratingly stop-start campaign.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Strong overall win rate: wins 33% of races

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
22 Aug
8th
York
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
31 Jul
3rd
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
11 Jul
7th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
16 May
9th
Newbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
1 May
🏆 Won
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
7 Feb
7th
abu_dhabi
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 16 runners
24 Aug
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
29 Jul
5th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
20 Jun
13th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
12 Apr
🏆 Won
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
50%
Win rate
2/4
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Goodwood
Undulating
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 31 Jul 33.3%
Ascot
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 11 Jul 33.3%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 16 May 50%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 win 30 Aug 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
abu_dhabi 1 1 other 7 Feb 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%