Jack Andrea

The career numbers tell the full story of that transformation. Across 26 races in total, Jack Andrea has won 4 times and finished in the places on 11 other occasions — a win rate of around 15%, or roughly 1 in every 6 or 7 races. That is a decent return at any level, but what makes it striking is how compressed those wins have become. Three of the four have arrived in the last six races alone, including a victory at Leicester just this week. The most recent form line reads 1-3-1-1-2, which, for those new to reading these things, is nearly as good as it gets.

John Butler's yard has been firing on all cylinders this season, sending out 39 winners — so Jack Andrea is part of a wider operation that clearly knows what it is doing. Butler trains out of Newmarket, the traditional heartland of British racing, and the fact that his team has 39 winners to their name this season puts them firmly in the productive tier of British trainers.

Dig into the conditions that suit Jack Andrea and a clear picture emerges. On normal ground — not too wet, not too firm — the horse wins 3 from 12, or 25% of the time, which is a genuinely strong number. At distances between a mile and three furlongs and a mile and four furlongs, that same 25% figure applies across 12 races. These are not coincidences; they are a horse that has found its conditions and its range. Southwell is worth particular attention: Jack Andrea has won 2 of 6 races there, making it a course to follow whenever an entry appears.

Most of these races have come at Class 6, the entry level of British racing, where Jack Andrea wins roughly 1 in every 13 attempts across the full career — though that flat figure rather undersells what is happening right now. A horse that wins 3 of its last 6 at any level, in any company, is a horse worth watching. Jack Andrea is exactly that.