Inca de Lafayette
Inca de Lafayette has had the kind of career that keeps the yard believing. The eight-year-old has won 4 of his 19 races — roughly 1 in every 5 outings — and finished in the top 3 in 11 others, which speaks to a horse that knows how to be competitive but hasn't quite found the consistency to dominate. His record at Taunton, though, suggests he has found a track where he genuinely excels: two wins from five races there means he wins more than a third of the time when running at that course, a rare thing in racing.Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What makes Inca de Lafayette interesting right now is that he appears to have turned a corner. Trained by Paul Nicholls at Ditcheat, the horse had struggled with a breathing issue that cost him a full winter campaign, but after that was resolved over the summer he came back with a dominant performance at Wincanton last month, winning by 13 lengths. That kind of winning margin is not luck — it is a horse running far better than it had before. His last win came at Plumpton in April, and recent form shows he has finished in the top 3 in his last four races, including a second place just a day ago. When ridden by Harry Cobden, his most frequent partner, Inca de Lafayette has won 3 of 7 races together, a win rate of roughly 43% — far above his overall average. That partnership has clearly worked. Class 3 racing has been tougher ground for him (1 win from 8 races), but at the right level and the right course, this eight-year-old can still deliver.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Effective partnership with Harry Cobden: 43% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Likes
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Likes
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Oct
2nd
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 4 runners
17 Jun
3rd
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 3 runners
13 May
2nd
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
5 Apr
🏆 Won
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
6 Mar
2nd
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
28 Feb
DNF
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 17 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
23 Jan
3rd
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
17 Dec
5th
Ludlow
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
25 Oct
5th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Jay Tidball Current jockey
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Taunton Undulating |
5 |
2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 1 other |
20 Feb |
40% |
| Chepstow Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
25 Feb |
0% |
| Plumpton Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
5 Apr |
100% |
| Wincanton Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
19 Oct |
100% |
| Newton Abbot Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
13 May |
0% |
| Worcester Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
17 Jun |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
27 Feb |
0% |
| Exeter Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
6 Mar |
0% |
| Fontwell Park Tight |
1 |
1 second |
15 Oct |
0% |
| Warwick Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
23 Jan |
0% |
| Ludlow Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
17 Dec |
0% |
| Huntingdon Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
14 Nov |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
28 Feb |
0% |
| Cheltenham Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
25 Oct |
0% |