Hermino AA

The most interesting partnership in Hermino AA's career is with jockey Jamie Moore. Together they've won 2 of their 7 races — that's roughly 1 in every 3.5 rides, or a 29% win rate — which is a genuinely strong number. When Moore is in the saddle, this horse performs meaningfully better than its overall average would suggest, and that's exactly the kind of detail that matters when trying to work out when a horse is at its best.

The recent form, however, tells a more difficult story. Hermino AA hasn't won in its last six races, and the finishes — 7th, 3rd, 6th, 5th, 6th, and a fall — don't suggest a horse that's been desperately unlucky and just missing out. It last won at Newbury back in November 2024, sixteen months ago now. That win came at Class 3, which represents decent rather than elite company, and it's at that level where the horse has spent most of its career, winning just 1 from 7 races there overall. A short break of 49 days since its last race means it returns relatively fresh.

First winning at Plumpton in January 2023, Hermino AA has put together a career that suggests a horse capable of winning on its day — particularly on a wet track — but one that needs things to fall right. The combination of muddy ground, Jamie Moore in the saddle, and a competitive but not top-level race would be the recipe most likely to bring out its best. Whether all three align again any time soon remains the question.