Hard To Believe

The career started at Bath in October 2025 and the wins have kept coming, most recently at Newmarket just two weeks ago — one of the most famous and competitive tracks in Britain. Newmarket is where good horses go to prove themselves against good opposition, so winning there adds real weight to what this horse has been doing. The recent form figures tell an interesting story too: three wins from the last six races, with the pattern of 3-1-7-1-1-6 showing a horse that fires in bursts, lands the big moments, but isn't flawless every single time. That seventh-place finish and the sixth suggest there are days when things don't click — which, if anything, makes the wins more impressive rather than less.

Behind the scenes, Hard To Believe is trained by Andrew Balding at Kingsclere in Hampshire, one of the most productive yards in British racing right now. Balding's team has sent out 202 winners this season alone — a number that puts them firmly among the elite operations in the country. A yard that busy and that successful doesn't waste time on horses that aren't up to scratch, and the fact that Hard To Believe is clearly a priority runner says something about how the team rate it. With the horse having raced just one day ago, there's every chance another outing is just around the corner — and on this form, that is well worth paying attention to.