Guesstimate
Guesstimate has the look of a horse still hunting for its level. The three-year-old has won just once in nine races — that victory coming at Nottingham back in mid-July — but the recent form suggests something is shifting. In the last six outings, it has finished second, third, and third again, with only one poor run sandwiched in between. That's real consistency for a young horse that was struggling to break through.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
Ian Christine Beard Family
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
66.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The standout detail is what happens when Guesstimate steps up in trip to around a mile and three furlongs or a mile and four furlongs. Over that distance, it has won one race from four attempts — a 25% win rate that towers above its overall record. That's a genuine clue to where this horse belongs, and trainer William Haggas, who runs one of Britain's most productive yards from Newmarket, clearly knows it. The hint of pattern in the recent form — two minor placings, then three in a row at or near the money — suggests Haggas may be zeroing in on the right sort of race. With the horse still active and racing just days ago, there is every reason to think we'll see Guesstimate back out soon, and likely back at a trip where it has already shown it can win.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
26 Aug
7th
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
11 Aug
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 10 runners
17 Jul
🏆 Won
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
19 Jun
5th
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
23 May
3rd
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
5 May
3rd
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 7 runners
6 Apr
10th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
19 Nov
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
22 Oct
3rd
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
6 Apr |
0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
1 |
1 win |
17 Jul |
100% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
22 Oct |
0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
1 |
1 third |
23 May |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
11 Aug |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
19 Jun |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
5 May |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
26 Aug |
0% |