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Guesstimate

Guesstimate has the look of a horse still hunting for its level. The three-year-old has won just once in nine races — that victory coming at Nottingham back in mid-July — but the recent form suggests something is shifting. In the last six outings, it has finished second, third, and third again, with only one poor run sandwiched in between. That's real consistency for a young horse that was struggling to break through.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Brown
Father
Sea The Moon
Mother
Approximate
Owner
Ian Christine Beard Family
Rating
73

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
9
Career races
1
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
66.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The standout detail is what happens when Guesstimate steps up in trip to around a mile and three furlongs or a mile and four furlongs. Over that distance, it has won one race from four attempts — a 25% win rate that towers above its overall record. That's a genuine clue to where this horse belongs, and trainer William Haggas, who runs one of Britain's most productive yards from Newmarket, clearly knows it. The hint of pattern in the recent form — two minor placings, then three in a row at or near the money — suggests Haggas may be zeroing in on the right sort of race. With the horse still active and racing just days ago, there is every reason to think we'll see Guesstimate back out soon, and likely back at a trip where it has already shown it can win.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
26 Aug
7th
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
11 Aug
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 10 runners
17 Jul
🏆 Won
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
19 Jun
5th
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
23 May
3rd
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
5 May
3rd
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 7 runners
6 Apr
10th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
19 Nov
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
22 Oct
3rd
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Tom Marquand Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 6 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 17 Jul 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 third 22 Oct 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 third 23 May 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 11 Aug 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 third 5 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Aug 0%