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Francisco's Piece

Two years is a long time in racing. Francisco's Piece won at Pontefract back in May 2024, and despite turning up at the track 15 times across a career that has now stretched to four years old, that remains the only win on the board — a record of 1 win and 4 places from 15 races, meaning it has converted just 1 in every 15 chances into a victory. The last six outings tell a story of a horse that is struggling to land a blow right now: finishing 5th, 13th, 12th, 15th, 5th, and 7th in succession, with nothing better than a fifth place to show for it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Mayson
Mother
Josefa Goya
Owner
Keatley Racing OG, Finneran & Allen
Rating
85

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
15
Career races
1
Wins
6.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes the picture a little more complicated is where Francisco's Piece has been asked to compete. Six of its races have come at Class 2 level — some of the better races you will find in Britain — and it has not won any of them, which is 0 from 6. That is a tough ask for any horse sitting on a 7% career win rate, and it may simply be that the horse has been pitched into company a step above where it is most comfortable. That one Pontefract win came somewhere it could dominate on the day, and finding that sweet spot again has proved elusive.

The horse is trained by Adrian Paul Keatley, whose yard in Ryedale, North Yorkshire, has sent out 42 winners already this season — so there is clearly no shortage of ability in the stable. Francisco's Piece raced just yesterday, which means it is very much in active training and presumably being kept busy in the hope that form clicks back into place. Whether another chance at a softer level of competition might unlock something is the interesting question. Two years is a long wait for a second win, but yards like Keatley's do not keep running horses without a reason to believe.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Yielding
Good to soft
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
Avoids
Class 2
Avoids
Class 3
Class 4
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, undulating
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Apr
7th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
25 Oct
5th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 13 runners
10 Oct
15th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 20 runners
20 Sep
12th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Soft · 25 runners
14 Sep
13th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 25 runners
9 Aug
5th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
26 Jul
10th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
6 Jun
8th
Epsom Downs
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
26 Oct
4th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Soft · 8 runners
5 Oct
2nd
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Soft · 20 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Oisin McSweeney Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 10 Oct 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 9 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 25 Oct 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 win 1 May 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Oct 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 6 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 second 27 Sep 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%