Francisco's Piece
Two years is a long time in racing. Francisco's Piece won at Pontefract back in May 2024, and despite turning up at the track 15 times across a career that has now stretched to four years old, that remains the only win on the board — a record of 1 win and 4 places from 15 races, meaning it has converted just 1 in every 15 chances into a victory. The last six outings tell a story of a horse that is struggling to land a blow right now: finishing 5th, 13th, 12th, 15th, 5th, and 7th in succession, with nothing better than a fifth place to show for it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
Keatley Racing OG, Finneran & Allen
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
26.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
What makes the picture a little more complicated is where Francisco's Piece has been asked to compete. Six of its races have come at Class 2 level — some of the better races you will find in Britain — and it has not won any of them, which is 0 from 6. That is a tough ask for any horse sitting on a 7% career win rate, and it may simply be that the horse has been pitched into company a step above where it is most comfortable. That one Pontefract win came somewhere it could dominate on the day, and finding that sweet spot again has proved elusive.
The horse is trained by Adrian Paul Keatley, whose yard in Ryedale, North Yorkshire, has sent out 42 winners already this season — so there is clearly no shortage of ability in the stable. Francisco's Piece raced just yesterday, which means it is very much in active training and presumably being kept busy in the hope that form clicks back into place. Whether another chance at a softer level of competition might unlock something is the interesting question. Two years is a long wait for a second win, but yards like Keatley's do not keep running horses without a reason to believe.
⚡ Strengths & Risks AI Analysis
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, undulating
—
Right-handed, undulating
—
Left-handed, tight turning
—
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Apr
7th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
25 Oct
5th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 13 runners
10 Oct
15th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 20 runners
20 Sep
12th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Soft · 25 runners
14 Sep
13th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 25 runners
9 Aug
5th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
26 Jul
10th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
6 Jun
8th
Epsom Downs
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
26 Oct
4th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Soft · 8 runners
5 Oct
2nd
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Soft · 20 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| York Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 2 other |
10 Oct |
0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
9 Aug |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
25 Oct |
0% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
1 |
1 win |
1 May |
100% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
31 Jul |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
5 Oct |
0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
6 Jun |
0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
27 Sep |
0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
14 Sep |
0% |
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
8 Apr |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
20 Sep |
0% |