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Forca Timao

Forca Timao is a horse that showed real promise early on but has since drifted into the middle ranks of racing, winning just twice in thirty races over a four-year career. At six years old, he sits firmly in the category of honest, limited horses—the kind that turn up race after race and occasionally surprise, but rarely threaten to do anything spectacular. His win rate of roughly 1 in every 14 races tells you most of what you need to know: he is not a natural winner.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kessaar
Mother
Belle Diva
Owner
Mrs M Elliott
Rating
60

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
30
Career races
2
Wins
6.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
16.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes Forca Timao worth watching, though, is how dramatically his fortunes have changed. His first race, at Sandown in 2022, was forgettable—the horse ran moderately and left no impression. But then came his breakthrough. In June 2022, ridden by Rossa Ryan, he won at Doncaster as a 40-1 outsider over seven furlongs, a result that genuinely caught people's attention. The form coming into that race had been poor, but the performance itself was polished enough that trainer Mark Pattinson, based at Epsom, thought there was more to come. Pattinson believed the horse would develop into something useful at a mile and a quarter, and the jockey described him as "a lovely colt going forward"—the kind of encouraging language trainers and riders use when they have seen something genuine.

What happened next is a common story in racing: the promise faded. Forca Timao won once more, at Southwell in April 2025, but that was the last real success. In his last six races, he has finished outside the top three every time, with his most recent outing just yesterday. When competing at Class 4 level—a middle-tier grade where he should theoretically be competitive—he has managed just 1 win from 8 races. At six, Forca Timao is past the age where improvement is realistic; he is what he is. A horse who won well once, showed fragments of ability, but has settled into being useful filler for a small racing yard rather than anything more.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Lingfield Park in 7 attempts
Yet to win at chelmsford in 6 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Aug
3rd
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 8 runners
27 May
5th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
20 Apr
4th
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 10 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 22 runners
24 Jan
6th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
2 Jan
5th
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 8 runners
26 Nov
7th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 11 runners
30 Oct
5th
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 5 runners
8 Sep
13th
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 15 runners
24 Jul
5th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Luke Catton
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Matthew Lloyd Slater(3)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Lingfield Park
Sharp
7 1 second, 1 third, 5 other 17 Aug 0%
chelmsford 6 6 other 2 Jan 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
3 3 other 24 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 26 Nov 50%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 16 Feb 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 27 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 win 24 Jun 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 20 May 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 29 May 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 3 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 5 May 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Sep 0%