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Forca Timao

Forca Timao has had a frustrating second half of his career. The 6-year-old has won just twice from 31 races—a win rate of roughly one victory in every five starts—and hasn't found the winner's circle since April 2025, nearly 18 months ago. His last six outings tell the story: a couple of placed efforts mixed with several finishes further back, including a run just six days ago that saw him finish sixth. At this point in his racing life, he is a horse who shows up, runs respectably often enough, but rarely wins the day.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kessaar
Mother
Belle Diva
Owner
Mrs M Elliott
Official rating
59

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
32
Career races
2
Wins
6.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
15.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
11 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Yet there was genuine promise early on. His first victory came at Doncaster in June 2022, when he went off at 40-1 and delivered a strong performance over seven furlongs. Trainer Mark Pattinson and jockey Rossa Ryan spoke warmly about his potential afterward—the team believed he would develop into something useful at a mile and a quarter. Pattinson, based at Epsom in Surrey, was particularly impressed with his physical presence and what he showed after a break from racing. When Forca Timao finds his way into Class 4 company—the lower tiers of British racing—he actually holds a respectable record, winning 1 of 8 races there (a 12% win rate), which suggests he is more than capable at that level. The gap between those performances and his overall record hints at the occasional struggles he has faced in stronger fields.

The reality now is simpler. A horse with two wins from 31 races, currently on an 18-month losing streak, has become a journeyman rather than a prospect. He is active and still racing, having competed just days ago, but the early promise at Doncaster has not translated into a sustained career. Forca Timao remains a regular runner for Pattinson's Epsom yard, but the days of people talking about what he might become have long since passed.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Lingfield Park in 7 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at chelmsford in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Struggles on Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Oct
8th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · 13 runners
8 Sep
8th
Leicester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
17 Aug
3rd
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 8 runners
27 May
5th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
20 Apr
4th
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 10 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 22 runners
24 Jan
6th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
2 Jan
5th
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 8 runners
26 Nov
7th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 11 runners
30 Oct
5th
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 5 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Matthew Lloyd Slater(3)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Luke Catton
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Lingfield Park
Sharp
7 1 second, 1 third, 5 other 17 Aug 0%
chelmsford 6 6 other 2 Jan 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
3 3 other 24 Jul 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 3 other 7 Oct 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 26 Nov 50%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 16 Feb 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 win 24 Jun 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 20 May 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Sep 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 5 May 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Sep 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 3 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 29 May 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Jun 0%