:

Fitzella

There is a horse in Hugo Palmer's Cheshire yard that won a Class 1 race at Ascot last July — one of the top races in Britain — and did it by ignoring the plan entirely. Fitzella, a three-year-old with two wins from nine races (roughly 1 in every 4 to 5 she has entered), has already made clear she is not the sort to do things quietly.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Too Darn Hot
Mother
Shamandar
Owner
D R Passant & Hefin Williams
Rating
104

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
9
Career races
2
Wins
22.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That Ascot win on 26 July 2025 is the centrepiece of her career so far, and the story of how it happened tells you a lot about her. Palmer had instructed jockey Oisin Murphy to hold her up and wait — to use her finishing speed late in the race. Fitzella had other ideas. She flew out of the gates and put herself bang up front, the exact opposite of what was planned. Murphy adapted on the spot, managed not to push her too hard, and the result was a Class 1 victory. As Palmer put it afterwards, it worked very nicely. When a horse can win the best races in Britain while essentially overruling her rider, that is a sign of something real.

Her record in those top-level races is genuinely striking: 1 win from 3 attempts, a 33% win rate, which is the kind of number most horses never get close to at that level. Her first career win came at Haydock Park in May 2025, and she has also shown she belongs on the big stages in Europe — a run at Deauville left Palmer reflecting that had circumstances been slightly different, she would have won a Group 2 race in what he called "devastatingly impressive fashion" and gone into winter as a leading favourite for the 1,000 Guineas. That race did not quite fall her way, but finishing second to a remarkable rival is no embarrassment.

Palmer's yard has sent out 67 winners this season, so this is not a small operation riding its luck. Fitzella sits near the top of what they have produced. She raced just one day ago, so whatever comes next is close. Palmer has hinted at a 1,000 Guineas entry for next season, though he has also said her ideal distance as a three-year-old is still an open question. That uncertainty, for a horse who has already won at the highest level, is actually exciting — it means the best of Fitzella may still be ahead.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Ok
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Jul
11th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
19 Jun
5th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
2 May
6th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
15 Apr
5th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
27 Sep
5th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
26 Jul
🏆 Won
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
20 Jun
4th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
23 May
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
10 May
2nd
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 19 Jun 25%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 23 May 100%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Jul 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 2 May 0%