Fair Dinkum

The overall career picture is modest on paper — 4 wins and 9 places from 33 races, a win rate of around 1 in every 8. But those four wins are not spread evenly, and the most interesting detail is what happens at Lingfield Park, a track in Surrey known for its all-weather surface. Fair Dinkum has won twice there from just five attempts, meaning it wins 2 in every 5 races at that particular venue. For context, it wins roughly 1 in 8 everywhere else. If you ever see this horse declared at Lingfield, pay attention.

Trained by Jeremy Scott at a small yard in Brompton Regis, Somerset — a setup that has punched well above its weight this season with 18 winners — Fair Dinkum clearly benefits from normal ground conditions, winning 2 of its 6 races on a standard surface, a rate of 33%. That is comfortably its best surface record and worth bearing in mind.

The honest concern right now is that Fair Dinkum has not won in its last six races, with the most recent victory coming at Salisbury back in October 2025 — nine months ago now. The recent form figures of 4-2-5-8-12-2 do show a couple of placed efforts, so it is not running badly, and it raced just yesterday, meaning the team clearly has it in good order. Jockey Kieran O'Neill, who partners it most regularly, has a 20% win rate together — 1 win from their 5 races — which is actually a healthy figure. The combination works when the pieces fall into place. The question is whether Fair Dinkum can recapture the kind of form that produced that remarkable Bath victory, or whether that remains the one glittering outlier in an otherwise workmanlike career.