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Estrange

There are horses that win races, and then there are horses that seem to collect top-level races the way other horses collect also-ran placings. Estrange is firmly in the second category. The five-year-old has won 6 of her 9 career races — that is a win rate of 67%, or roughly two out of every three times she steps onto a track — and her last six runs read 1-1-2-2-1-1. That is not a horse in form. That is a horse in a different gear entirely.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Grey
Father
Night Of Thunder
Mother
Alienate
Owner
Cheveley Park Stud

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
9
Career races
6
Wins
66.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
88.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
113 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes those numbers even more striking is the level at which they have been achieved. Three of her wins have come in Class 1 races — the very top tier of British racing — and she has won half of all the Class 1 races she has entered. She kicked things off at Goodwood in August 2024, winning a Class 2 there before going straight to Doncaster for a Class 1 victory the following November. Trainer David O'Meara has since admitted they probably got it wrong at one point by running her on fast, dry ground at Yarmouth, where she also had a rough trip through the field. That Doncaster win, she said, put things right. The yard at Upper Helmsley has sent out 101 winners this season alone, so they know a good thing when they have one — and they clearly know what brings the best out of this horse.

She has since won back-to-back Class 1 races at Haydock in the space of five weeks, in May and July 2025, before winning at The Curragh just this week. O'Meara noted after Haydock that she was unusually alert that day — normally she relaxes and waits to be asked, but she was keen and ended up leading for longer than anyone would have liked. She still won. That kind of adaptability is not something you can train into a horse; it is just class. O'Meara made the point himself after York, where he admitted they ran her on ground faster than they would have chosen: they rolled the dice, she delivered. Her reference point for that York win was telling — the only older horses to win the same race in recent years were Enable and Alpinista, both of whom went on to win the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, Europe's greatest flat race.

Jockey Daniel Tudhope has been in the saddle for 4 of her 6 wins from their 7 races together. The partnership looks well set for wherever this horse heads next, with the Yorkshire Oaks — one of the most prestigious races of the summer — firmly on O'Meara's radar.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Effective partnership with Daniel Tudhope: 57% win rate together

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Ok
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
27 Jun
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
30 May
🏆 Won 1%
Carlisle
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
18 Oct
2nd
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
21 Aug
2nd
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
5 Jul
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 4 runners
31 May
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
9 Nov
🏆 Won
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 12 runners
18 Sep
7th
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
25 Aug
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
57.1%
Win rate
4/7
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 wins 5 Jul 100%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 win 27 Jun 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 win 9 Nov 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 win 30 May 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 win 25 Aug 100%
York
Galloping
1 1 second 21 Aug 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 second 18 Oct 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Sep 0%