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Estrange

Estrange is one of the most exciting young horses in Britain right now, and the numbers back that up in emphatic fashion. The four-year-old has won 4 of her 7 career races — that's a win rate of 57%, or more than 1 in every 2 times she has set foot on a track. Better still, she has finished in the top three in 6 of those 7 outings. For a horse still learning her trade, that kind of consistency at the very highest level is genuinely rare.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Grey
Father
Night Of Thunder
Mother
Alienate
Owner
Cheveley Park Stud
Rating
116

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
7
Career races
4
Wins
57.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
85.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
172 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes her record even more striking is where she has been doing it. Three of her four wins have come in the top tier of British racing — Class 1 events — and she has won half of all the top-level races she has entered. She announced herself with a visually stunning debut win at Goodwood in August 2024, the kind of performance that makes a yard sit up and reconsider their plans. Trainer David O'Meara admitted afterwards that nobody could have expected her to win in that manner, and that the lack of experience she was carrying meant she would only improve. She duly did. A setback on fast, dry ground at Yarmouth — where she was also caught in traffic — was quickly corrected with a Class 1 win at Doncaster in November on the softer surface she clearly prefers. Then came back-to-back top-level wins at Haydock in May and July 2025. She had turned a promising horse into a serious one.

Her regular partnership with jockey Daniel Tudhope has been a key part of the story. In six races together they have won three times — exactly 1 in 2 — which is a remarkable return at this level. O'Meara's yard, based at Upper Helmsley in North Yorkshire, has been in exceptional form this season with 102 winners sent out, and Estrange looks like their flagship in the making.

She hasn't raced for around five months now, which will naturally bring questions about whether she returns to the same form. But everything O'Meara has said points to a horse being carefully managed towards the biggest occasions — the Yorkshire Oaks, the Lancashire Oaks, races that define a career. The team have been patient with her, picking the right ground and the right trips, and it has paid off handsomely. The expectation is that the best is still to come.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Effective partnership with Daniel Tudhope: 50% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Returning from a 172-day absence

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Ok
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 Oct
2nd
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
21 Aug
2nd
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
5 Jul
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 4 runners
31 May
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
9 Nov
🏆 Won
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 12 runners
18 Sep
7th
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
25 Aug
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
3/6
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 wins 5 Jul 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 win 25 Aug 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 win 9 Nov 100%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Sep 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 second 21 Aug 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 second 18 Oct 0%