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Emma's Letter

Emma's Letter is a three-year-old who seems to have found her groove on fast, dry ground — she wins roughly 1 in every 2 races when conditions suit her, which is a genuinely strong win rate. Over her career she has won 3 of 14 races overall, a respectable 21 per cent win rate, and she picked up her first victory at Newcastle back in late November 2025. What matters most right now is that she has won 2 of her last 6 races, with her most recent success coming at Newmarket eight weeks ago on 21 August 2026. That tells you she is still improving and still in form — her record over this stretch reads 2nd, 5th, 1st, 3rd, 1st, then 9th, which shows the kind of inconsistency you often see in a young horse learning her trade but still capable of showing up on the right day.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Saxon Warrior
Mother
Letterfromamerica
Trainer
Owner
Mrs Edward Dunlop
Official rating
72

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
3
Wins
21.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
71.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
1 day
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Ed Dunlop's Newmarket yard has sent out 39 winners this season, so Emma's Letter is part of a team in good form. At Class 5 level she has managed just 1 win from 5 races, which suggests she may struggle slightly when asked to step up, but her preference for fast ground is a real asset — find her a day when the track is firm and dry, and she is twice as likely to win. She raced as recently as yesterday, so she is an active horse and her the yard clearly see something worth running for. If she gets the ground she loves, she looks capable of picking up another win soon.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Oct
2nd
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 6 runners
24 Sep
5th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners
21 Aug
🏆 Won
Newmarket
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
22 Jul
3rd
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
2 Jul
🏆 Won
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
11 May
9th
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
13 Apr
3rd
Leicester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 5 runners
28 Dec
4th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 4 runners
19 Dec
2nd
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners
8 Dec
2nd
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 6 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
Daniel Muscutt Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Mason Paetel
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
4 2 seconds, 2 other 17 Oct 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
3 2 seconds, 1 other 8 Dec 0%
Leicester
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 third 13 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 win 21 Aug 100%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 win 26 Nov 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 2 Jul 100%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 third 22 Jul 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 11 May 0%