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El Rio

El Rio is nine years old and still finding the odd win, but not often enough for a horse at his level. Over 16 races, he has won four times and finished second or third in another seven — a 25% win rate that puts him solidly in the middle of the pack. The real story, though, is that he has turned into a wet-ground specialist, winning half his races (2 from 4) when conditions are soft or muddy. That is the kind of edge that keeps an older horse valuable to his yard.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Elusive Pimpernel
Mother
Princess Jaffa
Owner
Rio Grandees
Official rating
132

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
16
Career races
4
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
43.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
387 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trained by Kim Bailey and Mat Nicholls at Cheltenham, El Rio won most recently at Kempton Park on 7 February 2025, but that was 20 months ago — a long gap that suggests he has been grinding through lesser races without results. When he does get into Class 3 races, his true level, he is a different horse: three wins from seven starts, a 43% rate that shows he belongs there. Outside that grade, he struggles. His usual jockey is David Bass, though they have only managed one win together across five rides.

The highlight of his career came early, when he broke his duck at Ascot on 2 April 2023. Since then, the wins have dried up. His last six races have yielded just one victory, with a run of three third-place finishes in the middle of that sequence. He is still racing — he was out just a day ago — which suggests his the yard believe there is still something left in the tank, but at this stage of his life, El Rio is a horse that will keep his supporters hopeful rather than confident.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Sep
DNF
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
27 Sep
3rd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
2 May
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 45 runners
2 Mar
3rd
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
7 Feb
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners
26 Dec
3rd
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
10 Nov
🏆 Won
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
8 Oct
🏆 Won
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
25 Apr
DNF
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
25 Mar
6th
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
Ciaran Gethings Current jockey
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Wins / rides
Mr B W Harvey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Huntingdon
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 2 Mar 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 7 Feb 33.3%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 2 May 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 win 10 Nov 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 win 2 Apr 100%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 third 27 Sep 0%
Taunton
Undulating
1 1 other 8 Jan 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Dec 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Feb 0%