Earls

At Roscommon, Earls is almost a different horse. It has won 3 of its 8 races there, a win rate of 37.5 percent — nearly four times better than its career average. The last of those wins came on 1 September 2025, and though that is now 14 months in the past, it remains proof that Earls can still deliver at a track where it clearly suits. Gary Carroll, its most frequent jockey, has ridden it 24 times and won 5 of those races (21%), suggesting a strong understanding between horse and rider.

Recent form tells a tougher story. Earls has not won in its last 6 races, though it has shown some fight — two third-place finishes and a seventh-place effort suggest it is still competitive. Its most recent outing was just a day ago, and with youth no longer on its side at nine years old, races are increasingly precious. Yet this is a horse that thrives on specific conditions at specific tracks: give it wet ground at Roscommon with Carroll in the saddle, and Earls becomes a very different proposition from the one that has laboured through its recent runs.