:

Dust Cover

There is a horse in Ross Burdon's Newmarket yard that knows exactly what it wants — a mile and a half, normal ground, and ideally a trip to Southwell or Kempton. Dust Cover has turned those preferences into results with a sharpness that stands out for a four-year-old still finding its feet in the sport.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Showcasing
Mother
Dusty Dream
Owner
The Unlucky Rovers
Rating
75

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
13
Career races
3
Wins
23.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The headline number is this: three wins and five placed efforts from 13 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 4.5 outings, or 23% overall. That is a solid return at any level, but zoom in on the distances and the picture gets more striking. At a mile and three furlongs to a mile and four, Dust Cover has won 3 of its 6 races — exactly half. That is not a coincidence. Some horses are generalists; this one is a specialist, and the team at Burdon's yard would be doing themselves a disservice to keep testing it elsewhere.

The course record at Southwell is the other thing that jumps out. Two wins from three visits is a 67% win rate at a single track — for context, most good horses are delighted to win once or twice at a venue across an entire career. Dust Cover opened its account there on 21 November 2025 and has clearly taken to the place. Kempton Park has been kind too, with the most recent win coming on 4 February 2026. Both tracks are all-weather venues, which adds an extra layer of consistency — this is a horse that does not need to wait for the weather to be right, as long as the surface rides at something close to normal conditions.

The recent form tells an interesting story. After two back-to-back wins, the sequence of 14th, 2nd, 5th, and 4th suggests the horse hit a flat patch before those victories but has come back into form at the right time. Burdon's yard has sent out 12 winners this season, which speaks to an operation in decent health. Dust Cover raced just one day ago and remains active, which means there is every chance it lines up again soon.

At Class 5 level — the bread-and-butter tier of British racing — it has won 2 of its 4 races, a 50% win rate that is genuinely impressive. This is a horse operating confidently within its comfort zone, and right now that comfort zone is producing winners.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 50% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Jul
4th
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · 9 runners
15 May
5th
Newbury
1m6f – 2m · Good · 16 runners
4 May
2nd
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
12 Apr
14th
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 14 runners
4 Feb
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
20 Jan
🏆 Won
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 7 runners
18 Dec
2nd
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners
21 Nov
🏆 Won
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners
23 Oct
14th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 16 runners
29 Aug
11th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
Jack Mitchell Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
3 2 wins, 1 second 20 Jan 66.7%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 8 Jul 33.3%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Apr 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Aug 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Jul 0%