Destroytheevidence

The most eye-catching number in Destroytheevidence's record is at Kempton Park, where it has won 2 of just 3 races. That is an extraordinary ratio. Most horses that race regularly at a track pick up one win if they're lucky — winning two from three visits suggests something about the way the track suits this horse specifically. Whether it's the shape of the course or the ground conditions there, Kempton brings out something special.

On the subject of ground, Destroytheevidence clearly has preferences. On slightly soft or wet ground, it has won 2 from 7 races — nearly 1 in 3 — which is noticeably better than its overall record. When conditions are right, this horse moves up a gear.

The partnership with jockey David Bass is worth noting too. Together they've won 3 from 9 races — that's 1 in every 3 — which is a meaningful improvement on the horse's overall win rate. When Bass is in the saddle and the ground comes up soft, the yard trained by Kim Bailey and Mat Nicholls out of Cheltenham — a team that has sent out 31 winners this season — will be quietly optimistic.

The honest caveat is that Destroytheevidence hasn't won since Chepstow in October 2024, now 18 months ago, and its last six runs have produced nothing better than a third place. At Class 3 level — one step below the very top races in Britain — the competition is stiff, and a win rate of just 1 from 8 at that level reflects that. But with the Kempton record sitting there like a trump card, and the right ground always a possibility, it would be a brave person to write this horse off entirely.