Cogital

Across 34 races, Cogital has won 5 and placed 16 times, which means it has finished in the money in 21 of those 34 outings — more than six in every ten races. The win rate of roughly 1 in every 7 races (15%) is not headline-grabbing on its own, but the placing record suggests a horse that is consistently competitive rather than one that occasionally flukes a result. It earns its keep.

The really interesting number is what happens on normal ground. On standard conditions, Cogital has won 5 from 15 races — that is 1 in every 3, a 33% win rate that stands in sharp contrast to its overall record. In other words, if the ground is right, this horse becomes a completely different proposition. Every single one of its career wins has come in those conditions, and that is the kind of pattern that makes a trainer's life a little easier: you wait for the right day, you run, and you trust the horse.

Cogital's most recent win came at Newton Abbot just four weeks ago — the same track where its career began in April 2022. Newton Abbot is a tight, turning track in Devon, and there is clearly something about it that suits this horse. Its regular partner is jockey Jordan Williams, who has won 2 of 10 races together — a 20% win rate, or 1 in every 5 — a noticeably better return than Cogital's overall average, suggesting the partnership works.

Recent form reads 3-1-5-9-2-12, which shows the usual inconsistency of a seasoned older horse: a win and a second mixed in with some quieter days. That is entirely normal at this stage of a career. The yard has been in good nick this season, sending out 12 winners, and with Cogital having raced as recently as yesterday, it is clearly not done yet. At 11, every good run is a bonus — and this one still has good runs in it.