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Coconut Bay

Coconut Bay is a hard-working seven-year-old that has carved out a modest but steady career, winning seven times from 79 races and placing in the money roughly one in every three times it runs. The horse last tasted victory fourteen months ago at Catterick Bridge, which means it is currently in the longest losing streak of its career—six consecutive races without a win. Yet Coconut Bay remains active and was in the parade just a day ago, suggesting there is still life in the tank.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Bated Breath
Mother
Tropicana Bay
Owner
Mrs Hugh Fraser
Official rating
53

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
79
Career races
7
Wins
8.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
36 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse runs most often in Class 6 races, the bread-and-butter level where many professional racehorses spend their entire careers. Within that territory, Coconut Bay wins roughly 1 in every 10 races (6 wins from 63 attempts), which is perfectly respectable. Where it really stands out is on fast, dry ground. When conditions are firm, Coconut Bay's win rate jumps to 18 percent (2 wins from 11 races)—a genuine and marked improvement. This is the kind of detail that a trainer or jockey would note carefully: send Coconut Bay when the track is quick, and the odds improve noticeably.

Jason Hart, the jockey who rides Coconut Bay most often, has won three of eighteen races aboard the horse—a 17 percent partnership rate that is notably higher than the horse's overall record. Hart seems to get the best from this particular ride. Coconut Bay is trained by Tristan Davidson at Irthington in Cumbria, a yard that has sent out twenty-one winners this season, suggesting a competent operation. The horse made its breakthrough on the racecourse at Lingfield Park in August 2022 and has been a regular fixture on British tracks ever since. Recent form shows no wins in the last six attempts, but the consistency of places—two second places among those six runs—indicates the horse is still competitive and not entirely out of luck.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 11 starts (18%)
✔ Course specialist at Catterick Bridge: 3 wins from 14 starts (21%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Newcastle in 13 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Musselburgh in 9 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Southwell in 7 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 11 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
5F – 6½F
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Sep
9th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
25 Aug
9th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
16 Jul
2nd
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
8 Jul
3rd
Catterick Bridge
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
30 Jun
4th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
8 Jun
7th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
11 May
11th
Catterick Bridge
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
5 May
3rd
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
8 Apr
8th
Catterick Bridge
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
5 Nov
7th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Soft · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
16.7%
Win rate
3/18
Wins / rides
Rowan Scott Current jockey
16.7%
Win rate
2/12
Wins / rides
Phil Dennis
0%
Win rate
0/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
Rhys Elliott
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
Millie Wonnacott
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Mohammed Tabti
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Louis Steward
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
18 2 wins, 2 seconds, 1 third, 13 other 21 Apr 11.1%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
14 3 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 9 other 8 Jul 21.4%
Newcastle
Galloping
13 1 second, 1 third, 11 other 6 Dec 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
9 2 seconds, 1 third, 6 other 12 Sep 0%
Ayr
Galloping
7 1 win, 4 thirds, 2 other 5 May 14.3%
Southwell
Galloping
7 2 seconds, 1 third, 4 other 30 Jan 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 20 Aug 25%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 seconds 16 Jul 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 2 other 8 Jun 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 third 11 Jun 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Aug 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Oct 0%