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Cheshire Dancer

There is something wonderfully stubborn about Cheshire Dancer. The five-year-old came within a whisker of being sold and shipped to America — only to fail a veterinary check that, in hindsight, may have been the luckiest setback of her career. She has since gone out and won a Class 1 race at Ascot, one of the most prestigious prizes in British racing, and the offer that had been accepted for her is now, in trainer Hugo Palmer's own words, "considerably less than she's now worth." Funny how it goes indeed.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Grey
Father
Phoenix Of Spain
Mother
Kristal Xenia
Owner
Manor House Stables Syndicate
Official rating
97

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
21
Career races
4
Wins
19.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
52.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
106 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Across 21 races she has won 4 times and placed on 11 further occasions — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5 races, which is a solid return at her level. She tends to run in Class 4 company, the bread-and-butter tier of the sport, where she has won 3 of her 8 races (37%). But the Ascot win last July showed she can do far more than that. Palmer had been plotting a tilt at the Kensington Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot in June — one of the sport's grand summer showcases — and though that plan evolved, the ambition behind it tells you exactly what the yard thinks of her.

Her best racing comes over seven furlongs to a mile, where she has won 2 of her 6 races at those distances (33%), and Ascot in particular seems to suit her. Jockey David Probert, who has ridden her to 2 wins from just 5 races together — a remarkable rate of 40%, or 2 in every 5 — described her Ascot win as a "brilliant run," noting she enjoys the track. Those two do appear to bring out the best in each other.

Her recent form reads 11-8-5-10-7-1, which looks patchy until you remember that the 1 is a Class 1 win at Ascot. She raced just yesterday and remains in active work, trained out of Hugo Palmer's yard in Malpas, Cheshire — a stable that has sent out 67 winners already this season, which is a serious operation. Cheshire Dancer has not always lit up the form book, but when she finds her moment and her track, she can beat the best.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 33% win rate
✔ Effective partnership with David Probert: 40% win rate together

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Loves
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Jul
11th
Pontefract
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
17 Jun
8th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 25 runners
23 May
5th
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
3 May
10th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
4 Oct
7th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
26 Jul
🏆 Won
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
8 Jul
2nd
Pontefract
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
18 Jun
3rd
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 24 runners
26 May
🏆 Won
Leicester
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
9 May
10th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
David Probert Current jockey
40%
Win rate
2/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 17 Jun 25%
Haydock Park
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 23 May 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 28 Jun 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 3 May 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 7 Jul 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 win 26 May 100%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 27 Aug 100%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 9 May 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 second 23 Sep 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 second 30 Aug 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Sep 0%