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Caldwell Potter

Caldwell Potter looks like one of those rare horses that simply knows how to win. A seven-year-old with six victories from just twelve races, this horse has found the winner's circle at better than a 1-in-2 rate — which at the top level of racing is genuinely exceptional. More telling is recent form: over the last six races, Caldwell Potter has won four times and finished in the top 3 in both races it didn't win. That is the record of a horse that turns up expecting to be competitive.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Father
Martaline
Mother
Matnie
Owner
Ferguson, Mason, Hales, Done & Hogarth
Official rating
155

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
12
Career races
6
Wins
50%
Win rate
avg ~10%
83.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
579 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The standout feature is consistency at the highest level. When Caldwell Potter tackles Class 1 races — the cream of British racing — it wins two out of every three attempts. That 67% win rate in the sport's most demanding events is the kind of statistic that catches every trainer's eye. The horse proved this beyond doubt with back-to-back Class 1 victories in March and April 2025, winning at Cheltenham on 13 March before heading to Aintree just three weeks later to win again on 4 April. Those are two of the most prestigious tracks in the country, and Caldwell Potter handled both with ease.

Now comes the interesting part: the horse has been off the track for almost a year, last racing on 4 April 2025. After such a long break, it will need time to find its feet again. That said, Caldwell Potter has a team built for exactly this kind of challenge. It is trained by Paul Nicholls at Ditcheat in Somerset, one of the most consistently successful yards in Britain — Nicholls has sent out 95 winners already this season. When Caldwell Potter has been in the saddle with Harry Cobden, its most regular jockey, the partnership has won three of five races together, a 60% win rate that suggests real understanding between horse and rider.

With recent form this sharp, a trainer of Nicholls' calibre, and a long break that may have freshened the horse up, Caldwell Potter looks ready to pick up where it left off. Whether it can return to that Class 1 winning form after nearly a year away will be the story to watch.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Strong overall win rate: wins 50% of races
✔ Effective partnership with Harry Cobden: 60% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Returning from a 359-day absence

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
🏆 Won
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
13 Mar
🏆 Won
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
17 Jan
2nd
Windsor
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 4 runners
13 Dec
3rd
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
1 Dec
🏆 Won
Carlisle
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 7 runners
27 Dec
🏆 Won
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 9 runners
9 Dec
🏆 Won
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 25 runners
16 Nov
2nd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 25 runners
26 Feb
3rd
Naas
1m6f – 2m · Yielding · 6 runners
29 Dec
6th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Harry Cobden Current jockey
60%
Win rate
3/5
Wins / rides
Mr J J Codd
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 16 Nov 33.3%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 27 Dec 50%
Cheltenham
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 13 Mar 50%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 win 1 Dec 100%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 win 9 Dec 100%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 win 4 Apr 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 third 26 Feb 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 second 17 Jan 0%