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Cadarn

There's a horse in Kevin Ryan's Hambleton yard that has quietly put together one of the more interesting profiles of any five-year-old racing in the north of England right now. Cadarn has won 3 races from 13 outings — that's roughly 1 in every 4 attempts — and has picked up a place in 6 of those, suggesting a horse that almost always gives a good account of itself without always delivering the knockout blow.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Magna Grecia
Mother
Alltherightmoves
Trainer
Owner
Roger Peel
Rating
85

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
13
Career races
3
Wins
23.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes Cadarn genuinely compelling is what happens when conditions suit. On fast, dry ground, the record reads 2 wins from 3 races — a 67% success rate that is simply extraordinary. Most horses win somewhere between 10 and 20% of their races across a career; Cadarn on a quick surface is operating at a completely different level. Add to that a preference for distances around 7 furlongs to a mile, where the record is 3 wins from 6 races — exactly half — and you have a horse whose the yard clearly know where to place him to maximum effect.

Redcar appears to be a particular happy hunting ground. Two wins from just 3 visits there is the kind of course record that makes trainers sit up and take notice, and Kevin Ryan was already talking optimistically about Cadarn back in April 2025, describing promising home work that spring and a belief the horse had matured and was ready to deliver. That confidence proved well-founded: the first career win came at Redcar that same month, and the most recent win arrived at York on 27 June 2026 — just three weeks ago — keeping the horse bang in form and clearly thriving at the moment.

Ryan's yard has sent out 45 winners already this season, which is the mark of a genuinely busy, well-organised operation. With form figures reading 3-1-14-5-13-4 over the last six races — a win, a runner-up, and a couple of wobbles mixed in — Cadarn looks like a horse who can run hot and cold, but whose best is very good indeed. The one slight puzzle is his record in the better-quality Class 5 races, where he has managed 0 wins from 4 attempts. Step him down in class, find him a dry summer track, and put him over seven furlongs, however, and this is a horse worth watching very closely.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 50% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 Jul
3rd
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 7 runners
27 Jun
🏆 Won
York
7f – 1m · Good · 16 runners
15 May
14th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 17 runners
20 Apr
5th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
28 Mar
13th
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
19 Aug
4th
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 8 runners
28 Jun
12th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
19 May
🏆 Won
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
21 Apr
🏆 Won
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
12 Dec
4th
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Shane Gray Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Redcar
Galloping
3 2 wins, 1 other 20 Apr 66.7%
York
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 27 Jun 33.3%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 12 Dec 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Mar 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 third 18 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 second 16 Nov 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Oct 0%