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Brunello Breeze

Brunello Breeze is a 7-year-old with a loyal following at Newcastle, where it has found the winning formula three times from ten races—a win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record of just 3 wins from 31 outings. That 10 percent win rate across all tracks masks a real pattern: this horse is genuinely dangerous at home. On normal ground conditions, it wins roughly one race in every three attempts, compared to the bare handful it manages elsewhere. It is the kind of horse that has learned exactly what suits it and performs accordingly.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Bated Breath
Mother
Calima Breeze
Owner
Foulrice Park Racing Limited
Rating
54

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
31
Career races
3
Wins
9.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
19.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes Brunello Breeze interesting is not its recent run. It has not crossed the line first in half a year, and its last six races show the struggle: twelfth, eighth, seventh, fifth, seventh, and fourteenth. That is a form line that would make most owners and trainers seriously reconsider their plans. Yet that Newcastle connection remains, and it was at that track where Brunello Breeze last won, back in February 2024—an oddly long gap for a horse that showed it could win regularly at one course. Liam Bailey, its trainer at Middleham in North Yorkshire, has built a productive yard this season with 17 winners already, so there is experience in the stable. The horse performed best when asked to race over 1m3f to 1m4f distances, winning 2 of 11 races at that trip, suggesting that Bailey knows the profile and may be planning accordingly.

At Class 5 level—the lower rungs of competitive racing—Brunello Breeze has managed just 1 win from 13 races, which tells you it is a horse punching above its weight whenever the standard rises. It raced just a day ago, so it remains active and in the yard's plans. Whether it finds another day like those three Newcastle victories depends largely on getting the ground and the course right again.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 3 wins from 9 starts (33%)
Course specialist at Newcastle: 3 wins from 10 starts (30%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 18% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 Aug
12th
Newcastle
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 14 runners
4 Aug
8th
Catterick Bridge
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
11 Mar
7th
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 9 runners
24 Jan
5th
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 11 runners
9 Jan
7th
Newcastle
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 9 runners
3 Sep
14th
Hamilton Park
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
21 Aug
6th
chelmsford
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 7 runners
26 Jul
6th
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
30 May
3rd
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
3 Sep
11th
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Graham Lee
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Kieran Schofield
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mason Paetel
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
10 3 wins, 7 other 20 Aug 30%
Haydock Park
Galloping
4 2 thirds, 2 other 30 May 0%
Redcar
Galloping
3 3 other 1 Oct 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
3 3 other 5 Jul 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
2 2 other 4 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 18 Aug 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Jul 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Jun 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 3 Sep 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 15 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Aug 0%