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Broken Ice

There is something quietly admirable about a horse that keeps showing up. Broken Ice, a 10-year-old trained by John C McConnell out of Stamullen in County Meath, has raced 45 times and walked away with just 2 wins — a record that works out to roughly 1 win in every 22 races, or a 4% win rate. On paper, that looks modest. In practice, it tells the story of a horse that has spent years competing at a level where winning is genuinely hard to do.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
10 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Born To Sea
Mother
Ice Box
Trainer
John C McConnell
Owner
John C Mcconnell
Rating
96

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
45
Career races
2
Wins
4.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That first win came at Sligo in September 2022, and it had been a long time coming. Gavin Cromwell, who trained him at the time, put it plainly: Broken Ice had been "banging on the door" and was simply due his moment. Cromwell also noted that he stays well over a distance and may even prefer wet or muddy ground — a horse that actually improves when conditions get difficult is a useful animal to have. The second win followed at Perth in August 2025, which means his most recent victory is now 11 months in the past.

Since then, the results have been tidy without being spectacular. His last six runs read 10-5-–-4-4-4, which means he has been finishing in the places consistently enough but has not been able to get his head in front. His most frequent jockey is Keith Donoghue, who has partnered him in 12 races and won just once together — roughly 1 in every 12 times. That is a workmanlike partnership rather than a magical one, but the horse keeps getting entered, which tells you the yard still sees something worth running.

McConnell's operation has been in decent form this season — 36 winners sent out is a solid total for a yard of their size. Broken Ice has raced just yesterday, so he is clearly fit and active. His record at the top level of racing is blank: five attempts at Class 1 or 2 races have produced nothing. He is, at heart, a lower-tier competitor who occasionally lands a blow and more often makes up the numbers with quiet reliability. For a horse of 10 with 45 races behind him, simply still being out there and competitive is its own kind of achievement.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 14 starts (7%)
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on yielding_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Yielding to soft (damp)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Jul
10th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
27 May
5th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
2 May
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
3 Mar
4th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
1 Oct
4th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
4 Sep
4th
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
16 Aug
🏆 Won
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
25 Jul
5th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
13 Jul
7th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
10 Jun
6th
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
8.3%
Win rate
1/12
Won / Rode
Dylan Kidd
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
Alex Harvey Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Patrick M O'Brien
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Shane Fitzsimons(7)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr Finn Buckley
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Conor Maxwell
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Martin Fox
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
J B Kane
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Miss M O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Sligo
Sharp
8 1 win, 2 seconds, 5 other 1 Oct 12.5%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 3 other 2 May 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
3 1 second, 2 other 25 Jul 0%
Tramore
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 21 Apr 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 24 Nov 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 8 Jul 0%
Listowel
Sharp
2 2 other 23 Sep 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 29 Dec 0%
Wexford
Sharp
2 2 other 27 May 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 14 Apr 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
2 2 other 4 Sep 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 7 Nov 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 23 May 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Aug 100%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 other 14 Jul 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Feb 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 second 15 May 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Nov 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Jul 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Mar 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 other 2 Jul 0%