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Break Point

Break Point is a 6-year-old that has won twice in 32 races—a 6% win rate that speaks to a horse genuinely hard to win with, but one that keeps finding a way.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Iffraaj
Mother
Final Set
Trainer
Owner
If Only Partnership
Official rating
105

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
32
Career races
2
Wins
6.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.1%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
24 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

His two victories tell the story of a horse suited to specific conditions. He won first at Perth on 16 August 2025, then went nearly a year before breaking through again at Kempton Park on 29 June 2026. That second win now sits three months in the past, and his recent form shows the struggle: from his last six races he has finished 9th, 2nd, 4th, 4th, 1st, and 3rd. He places regularly—9 placings across 32 races—but wins remain elusive. Over the distances that suit him best, from a mile and six furlongs to two miles, he has won 1 from 7 races, a 14% win rate that is far better than his overall record. On standard ground or better conditions, longer races seem to bring out the best in him.

What is striking about Break Point is his consistency at one particular level. In Class 6 races—the lowest grade—he has run 12 times without a win. This suggests that when he does win, it comes either at lower-grade courses or in particularly suited circumstances. Joanna Mason, his regular rider, has partnered him in five races without a victory between them, though his recent second-place finish came just days ago, hinting that another win may not be far away. He is the kind of horse that gives his the yard real days out—occasional moments of triumph wrapped around plenty of honest racing—and at 6 years old, with two wins and consistent place-getting on his record, he remains a fixture in competitive racing.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 15 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 8 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 18 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 Sep
9th
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
28 Aug
2nd
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
22 Jul
4th
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
6 Jul
4th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 9 runners
29 Jun
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 7 runners
10 Jun
3rd
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
24 May
10th
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
7 May
5th
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 9 runners
16 Jan
6th
Wolverhampton
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 9 runners
15 Dec
3rd
Wolverhampton
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Philip Armson
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Rose Dawes
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
8 1 second, 1 third, 6 other 16 Jan 0%
Southwell
Galloping
4 4 other 7 May 0%
Perth
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 8 Sep 50%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 2 other 24 Nov 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 24 May 0%
Worcester
Galloping
2 2 other 25 Sep 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
2 1 second, 1 third 28 Aug 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 win 29 Jun 100%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 11 Jul 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 third 22 Apr 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 13 Apr 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Aug 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 other 29 Mar 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 24 Mar 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Mar 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 27 Apr 0%