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Bona Fortuna

Bona Fortuna is a horse that seems to have figured out exactly one thing well and forgotten how to do everything else. The five-year-old has won just twice in twelve races—a win rate of roughly one success in every six attempts—but both victories came on fast, dry ground, where it has managed to win 2 of its 5 races, a 40% success rate that stands out sharply against its overall form. That is not luck. That is a horse that knows what it likes.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mehmas
Mother
Ajla
Owner
Value Racing Bona Fortuna
Rating
76

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
12
Career races
2
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
58.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
Brighton
About 6 furlongs · Ideal conditions · 6 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The trouble is that Bona Fortuna has not tasted victory since Windsor on 22 July 2024, a drought of twenty-five months that speaks to how difficult life has become. In its last six races, it has finished nowhere near the winner's circle: sixth, sixth, second, second, second, and third. Three times it has run second—close enough to taste it, far enough away to feel the gap widen. For a horse that costs money to train and enter in races, this is the hard reality of mid-level racing: consistent near-misses do not pay the bills.

Michael Appleby's yard in Oakham, Rutland, has sent out 71 winners this season, so the trainer clearly knows how to get horses to the line. At Class 4 level—the everyday competitive range where Bona Fortuna runs—it has managed only 1 win from 7 races, a 14% win rate. That is below even its already modest overall record, suggesting that when the step up in class comes, something goes missing. The horse is recent enough in racing—last out just a day ago—to suggest the yard is still looking for another spark. Whether that spark will come, or whether Bona Fortuna's best days really are two years behind it, time will tell. For now it remains a horse with a clear preference and a run of results that do not match its talent on the ground it loves.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Aug
6th
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
2 Oct
6th
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
15 Aug
2nd
Epsom Downs
5f – 6½f · Good · 5 runners
26 Jul
2nd
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 21 runners
5 Jul
2nd
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
18 Jun
3rd
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
31 May
5th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
29 Aug
5th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
22 Jul
🏆 Won
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
25 Jun
🏆 Won
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
100%
Win rate
2/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 26 Jul 0%
Brighton
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Aug 50%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 win 22 Jul 100%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 second 15 Aug 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 third 18 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 third 3 Oct 0%