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Believitanducan

Believitanducan is a 5-year-old that has built a genuinely impressive record: 7 wins from 21 races, which works out to winning roughly one in every three times it races. That is a strong win rate, especially when you factor in 15 top-3 finishes on top of those wins. The horse has raced just once in the last day, so it remains actively campaigned.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Shirin Of Persia
Trainer
Owner
Owners Group 140
Official rating
87

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
21
Career races
7
Wins
33.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
71.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
4 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What stands out most is Believitanducan's love of certain ground conditions. On wet or muddy ground, it wins 3 out of every 5 races—a 60% win rate that is genuinely exceptional. On normal ground conditions, the record is even sharper: 2 wins from 3 races, or 67%. This is the kind of specialist you back when the rain arrives. At Class 3 level (mid-tier races), Believitanducan performs at an even higher level, winning half its races—4 from 8. These numbers suggest a horse that knows exactly where it runs best and thrives when conditions play to its strengths.

Recent form shows real momentum. In its last six races, Believitanducan has won three times, with a second-place finish sandwiched between those victories and top-3 finishes in four of the six outings overall. The most recent win came at Newcastle on 27 June 2026, four months ago, suggesting the horse is being aimed at something specific or is between targets. Trainer Alan King, who runs a prolific yard at Wroughton in Wiltshire—57 winners this season alone—has built Believitanducan into a reliable performer. King has spoken warmly of the horse's toughness and genuine nature, highlighting how it handled two miles of soft, cut-up ground with real courage. That durability, combined with its track record on the ground it loves, makes Believitanducan a horse worth watching whenever conditions turn wet.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
✔ Strong overall win rate: wins 33% of races
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Oct
2nd
Nottingham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
10 Aug
3rd
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · 12 runners
27 Jun
🏆 Won
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard_To_Slow · 20 runners
30 May
🏆 Won
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 11 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good · 13 runners
7 Feb
3rd
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners
6 Feb
DNF
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 18 runners
26 Dec
6th
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
1 Dec
🏆 Won
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
6 Nov
2nd
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
Philip Armson
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
Luke Catton
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 27 Jun 33.3%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 10 Aug 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 6 Nov 50%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 14 Oct 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 16 Jul 100%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 win 1 Dec 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 win 8 May 100%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 win 10 Mar 100%
Chester
Tight
1 1 win 30 May 100%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 third 7 Feb 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 second 3 Jul 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Apr 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 20 May 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Jan 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Feb 0%