Bay Breeze
Bay Breeze is a seven-year-old with a straightforward profile: a horse that wins roughly one in every seven races and has picked up nine victories from fifty-nine runs. Those numbers don't scream star, but there's a genuine pattern here worth understanding. The horse loves wet ground—genuinely loves it. On soft or muddy surfaces, Bay Breeze wins nearly half the time (6 wins from 14 races). On normal or fast ground, it's a very different proposition.
Tim Easterby's yard, based in North Yorkshire, knows this, and the trainer pointed out early in Bay Breeze's career that the gelding had matured into a stronger runner once the ground turned against it. That observation has held up.
Based on TrackLab's analysis
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What makes Bay Breeze interesting now is Hamilton Park. The horse has won twice from six races at that track, and struck there as recently as two weeks ago, suggesting it's a course where things click. With David Allan in the saddle—the pair winning 5 from 29 rides together—Bay Breeze has a jockey who understands what it takes to get the best from it. Recent form shows promise without being spectacular: two wins from the last six races, though the most recent outing a day ago resulted in a seventh. That's the reality of a Class 4 campaigner; the horse is competing at a level where wins are rare (just 1 from 22 Class 4 races), so every victory counts. Bay Breeze is the kind of horse Easterby's prolific yard keeps going for good reason: it wins, it has a clear edge in certain conditions, and when wet ground comes around—or when Hamilton Park calls—it gives itself a genuine chance.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 6 wins from 14 starts (43%)
✔ Course specialist at Ripon: 4 wins from 13 starts (31%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at York in 5 attempts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Likes
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Oct
7th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
28 Sep
🏆 Won
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 6 runners
21 Sep
🏆 Won
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
9 Sep
3rd
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
1 Aug
6th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
9 Jul
4th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
9 Jun
4th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
3 Jun
3rd
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
18 May
7th
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Soft · 11 runners
13 Apr
6th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
| Ripon Sharp |
13 |
4 wins, 2 thirds, 7 other |
3 Jun |
30.8% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
6 |
2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 2 other |
28 Sep |
33.3% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
6 |
1 win, 2 thirds, 3 other |
9 Sep |
16.7% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
6 |
1 win, 1 second, 4 other |
1 Aug |
16.7% |
| York Galloping |
5 |
1 third, 4 other |
26 Jul |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
4 |
4 other |
13 Oct |
0% |
| Nottingham Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 2 other |
23 Oct |
33.3% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
6 Aug |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
12 Sep |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
2 Nov |
0% |
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
25 Oct |
0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
5 Jul |
0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
8 Apr |
0% |
| Beverley Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
14 Sep |
0% |
| Chester Tight |
1 |
1 other |
13 Jun |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
23 Sep |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
27 May |
0% |