Bay Breeze

Put Bay Breeze on wet or muddy ground and you are looking at a different horse entirely. On that surface, he has won 4 times from 12 races — a win rate of 33%, or roughly 1 in every 3. That is a remarkable transformation from his overall record, and it tells you something important: when the rain comes down and the field starts to struggle through the mud, Bay Breeze starts to thrive. Tim Easterby noted early in the horse's career that fast, dry ground was simply too firm for him — and the numbers since have backed that up emphatically.

His most trusted partner in the saddle is David Allan, who has ridden him 29 times and won on 5 of those occasions — about 1 in every 6 rides together. That is a meaningful partnership built on familiarity, and it is no coincidence that Easterby's yard, which has sent out 128 winners this season alone, knows exactly how to place a horse like this to its best advantage.

The honest part of Bay Breeze's profile is that his last six races have brought no wins — his most recent victory came at Carlisle in May 2025, now over 14 months ago. His current run of form, finishing fourth, fourth, third, seventh, sixth and eleventh, suggests a horse that is competitive without quite finding the winner's enclosure. He typically races at Class 4 level, the fourth tier of British racing, where he has won just 1 of 22 races — only 5%, or roughly 1 in every 22. That is a tough record at that level, which hints that when conditions are not in his favour, the competition gets the better of him. He raced just yesterday, so the yard are clearly keeping him busy, and the hope for those who follow him is straightforward: find him a wet day, and let Bay Breeze do the rest.