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Bay Breeze

Bay Breeze is a seven-year-old with a straightforward profile: a horse that wins roughly one in every seven races and has picked up nine victories from fifty-nine runs. Those numbers don't scream star, but there's a genuine pattern here worth understanding. The horse loves wet ground—genuinely loves it. On soft or muddy surfaces, Bay Breeze wins nearly half the time (6 wins from 14 races). On normal or fast ground, it's a very different proposition. Tim Easterby's yard, based in North Yorkshire, knows this, and the trainer pointed out early in Bay Breeze's career that the gelding had matured into a stronger runner once the ground turned against it. That observation has held up.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Buratino
Mother
Midnight Mojito
Owner
D A West Partner
Official rating
66

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
59
Career races
9
Wins
15.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
5 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Bay Breeze interesting now is Hamilton Park. The horse has won twice from six races at that track, and struck there as recently as two weeks ago, suggesting it's a course where things click. With David Allan in the saddle—the pair winning 5 from 29 rides together—Bay Breeze has a jockey who understands what it takes to get the best from it. Recent form shows promise without being spectacular: two wins from the last six races, though the most recent outing a day ago resulted in a seventh. That's the reality of a Class 4 campaigner; the horse is competing at a level where wins are rare (just 1 from 22 Class 4 races), so every victory counts. Bay Breeze is the kind of horse Easterby's prolific yard keeps going for good reason: it wins, it has a clear edge in certain conditions, and when wet ground comes around—or when Hamilton Park calls—it gives itself a genuine chance.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 6 wins from 14 starts (43%)
✔ Course specialist at Ripon: 4 wins from 13 starts (31%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at York in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Oct
7th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
28 Sep
🏆 Won
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 6 runners
21 Sep
🏆 Won
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
9 Sep
3rd
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
1 Aug
6th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
9 Jul
4th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
9 Jun
4th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
3 Jun
3rd
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
18 May
7th
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Soft · 11 runners
13 Apr
6th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
David Allan Current jockey
17.2%
Win rate
5/29
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/6
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Rhys Elliott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Amie Waugh
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ripon
Sharp
13 4 wins, 2 thirds, 7 other 3 Jun 30.8%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
6 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 28 Sep 33.3%
Carlisle
Undulating
6 1 win, 2 thirds, 3 other 9 Sep 16.7%
Thirsk
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 4 other 1 Aug 16.7%
York
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 26 Jul 0%
Leicester
Sharp
4 4 other 13 Oct 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 23 Oct 33.3%
Pontefract
Undulating
3 1 third, 2 other 6 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 12 Sep 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 2 Nov 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jul 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 13 Jun 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 27 May 0%