Autumn Twist

The horse clearly thrives on normal ground conditions. On fast, dry or soft, muddy surfaces it struggles to sparkle, but when the ground sits somewhere in between, Autumn Twist performs at a different level — winning 4 of its 11 races on such conditions, a win rate of 36%. Its sweet spot appears to be races between one mile and one furlong and one mile and two furlongs, though it has only won once in four attempts at those distances, suggesting there is room for improvement if it can get the right race and conditions to align.

Daniel King has partnered the horse eight times and won twice aboard it — a 25% win rate with this jockey, notably better than Autumn Twist's overall record. That partnership may be worth keeping an eye on. The horse is trained by Denis Gerard Hogan at Cloughjordan in County Tipperary, a yard that has sent out 54 winners this season and clearly knows how to get results. Recent form has been mixed — a fifth place last time out followed by a run outside the placings the race before — but with Killarney clearly a lucky venue, another trip there could be exactly what this horse needs.