:

Austrian Theory

Austrian Theory is a horse that has frustrated everyone who has believed in him—and there have been believers, because when this seven-year-old gets it right, he can beat top-class fields. His career record tells the story of a horse caught between real talent and maddening inconsistency: 3 wins from 50 races amounts to winning roughly 1 in every 17 attempts, but those victories have come at serious tracks. He won at Epsom in a Class 2 race in June 2023 and before that at Hamilton Park, also Class 2, in June 2022. That first win at Hamilton marked the beginning, and he has not won since October 2024—a gap of 22 months that underlines just how hard it has been to recapture that form.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Awtaad
Mother
Cedar Sea
Owner
The Wolf Pack 2 And Partner
Rating
70

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
50
Career races
3
Wins
6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Tim Easterby's yard at Great Habton is enjoying a strong season with 128 winners, but Austrian Theory remains an outlier: inconsistent, picky about his conditions, and prone to running well one day and disappointingly the next. The horse shows a clear preference for fast, dry ground—he has won 2 of his 16 races (12%) when conditions favour that—and a distance between a mile and a furlong and a mile and two furlongs suits him best. His recent form is troubling. In his last six races, he has finished third once but otherwise failed to trouble the front runners, including finishes of 5th, 7th, 8th, and 9th. He raced just a day ago, which means he is still active and still being campaigned, even if his the yard must wonder whether the talent that showed up at Epsom four years ago is still there to find.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 16 starts (12%)
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 11% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 16 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Yet to win at York in 10 attempts
Yet to win at Newmarket in 5 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 24 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Left-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Aug
3rd
Catterick Bridge
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
25 Jul
5th
Newcastle
1m6f – 2m · 13 runners
24 Jun
8th
Carlisle
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
12 Jun
5th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 20 runners
28 May
7th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
15 May
9th
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
16 Apr
5th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
20 Oct
3rd
Pontefract
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 14 runners
18 Sep
2nd
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
22 Aug
10th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
18.2%
Win rate
2/11
Won / Rode
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Connor Murtagh
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
10 10 other 12 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
5 2 thirds, 3 other 24 Sep 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 15 May 25%
Ayr
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 18 Sep 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 1 Oct 33.3%
Chester
Tight
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 8 May 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 third 20 Oct 50%
Ripon
Sharp
2 2 other 28 May 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 7 Aug 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 25 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 3 Aug 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 24 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Aug 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Oct 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 7 Apr 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 15 Aug 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 third 17 Aug 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 11 Jun 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Nov 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 22 May 0%