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Aurora Nova

There is something quietly stubborn about Aurora Nova that makes her worth watching. The seven-year-old has won 4 races and placed in 11 more from 34 outings — a win rate of around 12%, or roughly 1 in every 8 races — which on paper looks modest. But those numbers hide a more interesting story once you know where to look.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Holy Roman Emperor
Mother
Novat
Owner
Dreams Of Glory Racing Syndicate
Rating
68

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
34
Career races
4
Wins
11.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
32.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The place to look is Bellewstown, a small summer track perched on a hill in County Meath with views out to the Irish Sea. At most tracks, Aurora Nova is a decent, consistent competitor. At Bellewstown, she becomes something else entirely: 2 wins from just 5 races there, a 40% win rate that puts her comfortably in the category of genuine course specialist. That kind of record at a specific track is not coincidence — it suggests the course suits something about how she runs or how she handles herself on the day. Her last win came there on 3 July 2025, which means the yard will almost certainly have that fixture circled on the calendar when the summer cards are announced.

Ground conditions matter too. Aurora Nova has all 4 of her career wins on normal ground, from 15 races in those conditions — that is winning 27% of the time, or better than 1 in every 4 races, when the track is riding as it should. On anything wetter or faster, the wins simply dry up. It is a clear pattern, and one that Andrew McNamara's yard at Athboy will be very conscious of when deciding when to run her. McNamara has sent out 7 winners this season, so this is a functioning, active operation, not one just going through the motions.

Recent form shows she has not won in her last 6 races, and the numbers — 3-9-6-10-5-3 — suggest she has been placing here and there but not quite getting her nose in front. Her most regular partner, Wesley Joyce, has won just 1 of their 9 races together, an 11% record that mirrors her overall profile. She raced just yesterday, which tells you she is in good health and firmly in training. The wait for a fifth career win continues, but with Bellewstown on the horizon and the right ground, Aurora Nova has shown more than once that she knows exactly when to show up.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 4 wins from 15 starts (27%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at The Curragh in 6 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Apr
3rd
Bellewstown
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
16 Oct
9th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 18 runners
1 Oct
6th
Bellewstown
5f – 6½f · Soft · 10 runners
30 Sep
10th
Cork
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 12 runners
22 Sep
5th
Fairyhouse
7f – 1m · Yielding · 12 runners
26 Aug
3rd
Bellewstown
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
9 Aug
9th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 18 runners
25 Jul
11th
Cork
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
5 Jul
3rd
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
3 Jul
🏆 Won
Bellewstown
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
11.1%
Win rate
1/9
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Jamie Powell Current Jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Hugh Horgan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
6 6 other 16 Oct 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
5 2 wins, 2 thirds, 1 other 11 Apr 40%
Down Royal
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 20 Jun 25%
Dundalk
Galloping
4 4 other 14 Apr 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 22 Sep 33.3%
Naas
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 5 Jul 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 30 Sep 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
2 2 other 24 Apr 0%
Sligo
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 15 May 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Apr 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 other 30 May 0%