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Ardisia

Ardisia may only be three years old, but already he has done what few young horses manage: won five races in twenty attempts, which puts him in the top quarter of his age group. His win rate of roughly one in every four races is the kind of record that makes trainers sit up. What makes it more impressive is that he has done it with a temperament Hugo Palmer, his trainer, plainly adores. Palmer runs a powerhouse yard at Malpas in Cheshire that has sent out 67 winners this season, yet he singles out Ardisia as a standout — calling him tough, consistent, and relentless. That is not language trainers use lightly.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Ardad
Mother
Garraun
Owner
Ardisia Partnership
Official rating
99

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
20
Career races
5
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
8 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse showed exactly why at Redcar in early October, winning the Two Year Old Trophy, one of the top races in Britain. Jockey Oisin Orr made light work of a wide draw and, despite using plenty of ground to get across, Ardisia travelled smoothly and won without needing to be asked hard in the final stretch. The post-race comments paint a portrait of a professional: drawn awkwardly, he still got the job done, which speaks to both natural ability and a mind that does not panic under pressure. Part-owner Jane Mairs summed it up perfectly — at ten races and five wins, with two third-place finishes as a bonus, this is a horse that tries every single time.

Soft or muddy ground brings out his best, with two wins from just four races on that surface, a 50% win rate. At Class 2 level, where he typically competes, he has won three of his six races, which is solid form. His last six runs have yielded three placings — a second, a third, and a fourth — but no wins, which may suggest he has hit a ceiling or simply come up against stronger fields. Yet Palmer is already talking about step-ups in class and a tilt at the One Thousand Guineas, which suggests he sees something worth chasing. For a three-year-old who has already done more than most, Ardisia is a horse built to improve, not fade.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Oct
12th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
19 Sep
7th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 25 runners
30 Aug
2nd
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Soft · 15 runners
2 Aug
4th
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
20 Jun
15th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
5 Jun
3rd
Epsom Downs
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
16 May
6th
Newbury
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
1 May
4th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
18 Apr
7th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
18 Oct
2nd
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
50%
Win rate
2/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
David Probert Current jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 20 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
3 3 other 16 May 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 second 30 Aug 50%
Ayr
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 19 Sep 50%
York
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 10 Oct 0%
Chester
Tight
2 2 other 2 Aug 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 win 4 Oct 100%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 win 2 Apr 100%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 win 24 May 100%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 third 14 Apr 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 third 5 Jun 0%