UK time :

An Outlaw's Grace

An Outlaw's Grace has spent most of his four-year-old career chasing a second win. The horse broke through on his debut at Salisbury in June 2024, but that remains his only victory in 20 races—a win rate of just 1 in 20. He has finished in the top 3 five times since then, which shows he can be competitive, but the wins have dried up entirely. Over his last six races, he has not found the winner's circle once, though he did finish second most recently.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dandy Man
Mother
Wedding Wish
Owner
Middleham Park Racing Xxiv Partner
Official rating
73

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
20
Career races
1
Wins
5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
25%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
11 days
Since last race

🏁 Next race

Tomorrow
Bath
About 5 furlongs · Good ground · 10 runners

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse has struggled most in the better-quality races. In Class 2 competitions—some of the top races in Britain—he has run four times without winning, a record that suggests he may have hit a ceiling at that level. His trainer Richard Hannon, whose Wiltshire yard has sent out 118 winners this season, has been bullish about the horse's prospects. Hannon described him as talented, pointing out that he won on his debut and was sent to the prestigious Prix Robert Papin as a youngster before things went wrong. The trainer believes An Outlaw's Grace has been working well and looks set to return to the winners' enclosure.

Sean Levey, who has ridden the horse six times and won once together, remains his regular pilot and may hold the key—his win rate on this horse stands at roughly 1 in 6, noticeably better than the overall picture. With the horse actively racing and fresh from a run just over a week ago, the yard are clearly hoping a change in fortune is overdue. Whether he can find another win, or whether that debut success at Salisbury remains his career highlight, remains to be seen.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Windsor in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Oct
7th
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · 12 runners
26 Sep
DNF
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
8 Sep
6th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
29 Aug
2nd
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
12 Aug
7th
Salisbury
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
20 Jul
4th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
13 Jul
5th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
27 Jun
3rd
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
23 May
19th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
11 May
2nd
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Sean Levey Current jockey
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
5 2 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 29 Aug 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 12 Aug 50%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 23 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 29 Mar 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 8 Sep 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 27 Feb 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Oct 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Sep 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 third 21 Jun 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Oct 0%