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Alpha Capture

There is a horse in Roger Fell's North Yorkshire yard that has already stood on the biggest stage British racing has to offer — and at six years old, it is still running regularly enough to suggest the team believes there is more to come. Alpha Capture has won 3 races from 26, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 9, with 13 further place finishes that paint the picture of a horse that shows up and competes without always getting the job done.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Cotai Glory
Mother
York Express
Trainer
Owner
Nextgen Racing And Fell
Rating
74

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
26
Career races
3
Wins
11.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The highlight of its career came on 8 October 2022 at York, when Alpha Capture won a Class 1 race — one of the top races in Britain. York is one of the most prestigious venues in the country, and landing a top-level prize there is the kind of result that defines a career. It came just six weeks after a first career win at Carlisle in August of that year, making the autumn of 2022 the purple patch Alpha Capture's record is built around.

Since then, the wins have dried up. The last came at Killarney in July 2024, now nearly two years ago, and the most recent six races have produced finishes of 5th, 4th, 3rd, 3rd, 6th, and 2nd — consistently in the mix, but not quite finding the front. That pattern is worth noting: 13 places from 26 races tells you this horse rarely runs a stinker, but converting those near-misses has become the challenge.

The distances where Alpha Capture is most dangerous are the shorter ones — five to six-and-a-half furlongs, what you might call a sprint. It has won 2 of its 10 races at those trips, a rate of 1 in 5, which stands out clearly against its overall record. Stepping up in class to the second tier of British racing has so far produced nothing from six attempts, which suggests the yard may find more success keeping it at a slightly lower level where those sprint conditions can be exploited.

Tom Marquand, one of the better jockeys in the country, has partnered Alpha Capture nine times and won twice — roughly 1 in every 4 rides together, well above the horse's overall average. Fell's yard has been in decent nick this season with 23 winners, so the infrastructure is there. Alpha Capture raced just yesterday and remains very much an active competitor. Whether another win is coming is the open question, but this is a horse with a Class 1 win on its CV and a habit of finishing close.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Jun
2nd
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
18 Apr
6th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
7 Apr
3rd
Pontefract
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
21 Mar
3rd
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
2 Aug
4th
Galway
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding · 21 runners
29 Jul
5th
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 18 runners
14 Jul
7th
Killarney
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding_To_Soft · 12 runners
5 Jun
2nd
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 19 runners
3 Aug
2nd
Galway
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 21 runners
30 Jul
7th
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 19 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Jack Enright
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Galway
Tight
4 1 second, 3 other 2 Aug 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 23 Sep 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 14 Jul 50%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 19 Aug 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 third 2 Jun 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 2 thirds 21 Mar 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 win 8 Oct 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 win 25 Aug 100%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Apr 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 second 31 Jan 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Aug 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Mar 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Sep 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%