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Align The Stars

Align The Stars has run hot and cold through his career, but recent form suggests the penny is finally dropping. The five-year-old has won 5 of his last 28 races — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5.5 — with 12 places to show he is competitive far more often than he wins. What matters, though, is what he has done lately. After his first career win at Thirsk in June 2024, he landed back-to-back Class 2 victories at Haydock and then Goodwood that same summer, suggesting something had clicked. But then he went quiet. His last win came at Newcastle in June this year, four months ago, and his recent form shows mostly mid-field finishes: a 16th place, a 22nd, a 7th, a win, a 6th, and a 2nd in his last six outings.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Brown
Father
Sea The Stars
Mother
Kitcara
Owner
Tony Farmer
Official rating
100

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
28
Career races
5
Wins
17.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
8 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trainer Charlie Johnston, based at Middleham Moor in Yorkshire, sees genuine potential in this horse. He is a huge animal built for distance, and Johnston believes stamina racing — particularly the kind of relentless, ground-eating marathon that suits horses bred for the very top tier — could unlock a much higher level. The trainer has even mentioned the Ascot Gold Cup as a long-term target, and spoke of the St Leger as a realistic next step if the horse can find his feet again. Last season was untidy, Johnston admitted, with too many races chased in pursuit of a Book 1 bonus, but this year started well enough with a win at Kempton and three victories under jockey Joe Fanning, who has ridden him 16 times for a 19% win rate together.

At Class 2 level, Align The Stars has won 2 of 12 races — a 17% win rate — which shows he belongs at that standard but is not dominating it. He will not race on soft or muddy ground, which limits his options, and his trainer was considering either a valuable one-mile-six-furlong race or the Chester Cup as his next assignment. The horse is at a crossroads. He has the pedigree and the physical tools to be very good, but he has not yet proved it over the extreme distances Johnston believes suit him best.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Yet to win at Newmarket in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Oct
16th
Newmarket
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 29 runners
22 Aug
22th
York
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
1 Aug
7th
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
27 Jun
🏆 Won
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard_To_Slow · 20 runners
23 May
6th
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Good · 11 runners
3 May
2nd
Newmarket
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
28 Mar
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
28 Sep
4th
Newcastle
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
12 Sep
10th
Doncaster
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
6 Sep
4th
Haydock Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 17 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
18.8%
Win rate
3/16
Wins / rides
Daniel Muscutt Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Goodwood
Undulating
5 1 win, 1 second, 3 other 1 Aug 20%
Newmarket
Galloping
5 2 seconds, 3 other 10 Oct 0%
York
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 22 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 6 Sep 33.3%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 27 Jun 50%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 third 2 Jun 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Jun 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 win 28 Mar 100%
chelmsford 1 1 other 11 Nov 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 third 9 Apr 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 19 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Jun 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Sep 0%