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Akkadian Thunder

There is a horse currently running at the top level of British racing that has never actually won at that level — and yet David O'Meara keeps sending Akkadian Thunder out there, because the evidence suggests the ability is real, even if the results don't fully show it yet. The six-year-old has won 4 races from 31 outings — roughly 1 in every 8 — and collected a place 12 more times, painting the picture of a horse that is consistently competitive without quite getting over the line.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Night Of Thunder
Mother
Akhania
Owner
Windmill House Racing & Rasio Cymru
Rating
91

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
31
Career races
4
Wins
12.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The numbers at Class 2 level tell the most interesting story. Thirteen races at that tier, zero wins. That sounds damning, but the places suggest he belongs there — he is not being embarrassed, he is finishing close. O'Meara himself describes him as "a good horse" with "plenty of ability and a lot of speed," and straight tracks as a particular strength. When a trainer of O'Meara's calibre — a yard that has sent out 101 winners already this season — keeps coming back to a horse, there is usually a reason.

The ground question is worth dwelling on. O'Meara admitted he assumed Akkadian Thunder only thrived on fast, dry conditions, but then came a second-place finish at Ascot on wet, soft ground that rewrote the script. Jockey Billy Lee, riding that day, was effusive afterwards — he genuinely thought he might catch the winner when daylight appeared, and felt the horse had run a blinder. That kind of run, on ground that should have found him out, is precisely what keeps a team believing. His best win rate comes on normal ground — 2 wins from 5 races, which is 40% — but the Ascot run suggests he is more versatile than anyone expected.

His last win came at Doncaster in June 2025, now 14 months ago, and most recently he has been partnered by Daniel Tudhope for six races without a win together. The recent form reads 5-6-5-3-6-2 — no wins, but a third and a second tucked in there. He raced just one day ago, meaning this is a horse very much in the middle of a campaign, not one winding down. With a trainer who backs him publicly, a proven ability to travel on varying ground, and a preference for straight, flat courses where raw speed counts for everything, Akkadian Thunder looks like a horse waiting for the right day rather than one that has had its day.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Yet to win at Ascot in 7 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 Jul
5th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
4 Jul
6th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
13 Jun
5th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 22 runners
6 Jun
3rd
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
2 May
6th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
29 Mar
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
8 Nov
16th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 22 runners
24 Oct
6th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
4 Oct
8th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Soft · 18 runners
28 Sep
9th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
W J Lee
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
10 2 wins, 1 second, 3 thirds, 4 other 18 Jul 20%
Ascot
Galloping
7 2 seconds, 5 other 4 Oct 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 28 Sep 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 22 May 33.3%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 21 Jun 0%