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Akkadian Thunder

There is something likeable about a horse that keeps defying expectations, and Akkadian Thunder — a six-year-old trained by David O'Meara at his busy yard in Upper Helmsley, North Yorkshire — has made a habit of it. His overall record reads 4 wins and 12 places from 30 races, which works out at roughly 1 win in every 7 or 8 races, but the bare numbers slightly undersell him. He is a horse who shows up and competes, and in the right conditions he can be genuinely dangerous.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Night Of Thunder
Mother
Akhania
Owner
Windmill House Racing & Rasio Cymru
Rating
91

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
30
Career races
4
Wins
13.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
Doncaster
About 7 furlongs · Mostly firm ground · 9 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Those right conditions, it turns out, are harder to pin down than anyone expected. O'Meara admitted on a stable tour earlier this year that he thought Akkadian Thunder was a fast-ground specialist — and then the horse went to Ascot in September and ran a stormer on soft, wet ground to finish second. His best numbers do come on normal conditions, where he has won 2 of his 5 races there, a 40% win rate that is impressive by any measure. But the Ascot run showed there is more to him than that. He also tends to be sharper over a mile and a touch further — at distances between 1m1f and 1m2f he has won 1 of 3 races, a solid 33%, and straight tracks appear to help him use his speed cleanly.

The problem right now is that Akkadian Thunder has been competing mainly at the top end of the sport — Class 2 races, which are among the best in Britain — and at that level he has drawn a blank across 13 attempts. His most recent win came at Doncaster in June 2025, and he has not added to that in his last six races. His partnership with regular rider Daniel Tudhope has produced 0 wins from 6 races together, though Tudhope has had the horse in the places and the Ascot second showed the combination working well when the run came at the right moment. Jockey Billy Lee, who rode that day, was effusive afterwards — "he ran a blinder," he said, crediting O'Meara's tactical instruction to keep him relaxed and let him finish hard.

O'Meara's yard has sent out 101 winners this season alone, so this is a serious operation, and Akkadian Thunder is clearly considered one of their better horses. He raced just yesterday and remains in active training. A horse with speed, adaptability, and a team who understand him — the next win feels closer than the recent record suggests.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Yet to win at Ascot in 7 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Jul
6th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
13 Jun
5th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 22 runners
6 Jun
3rd
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
2 May
6th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
29 Mar
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
8 Nov
16th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 22 runners
24 Oct
6th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
4 Oct
8th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Soft · 18 runners
28 Sep
9th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 14 runners
20 Sep
7th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
W J Lee
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
9 2 wins, 1 second, 3 thirds, 3 other 6 Jun 22.2%
Ascot
Galloping
7 2 seconds, 5 other 4 Oct 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 28 Sep 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 22 May 33.3%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Jul 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 21 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jun 0%