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Aim For The Bull

Aim For The Bull is a 4-year-old with modest credentials on paper but a clear preference for fast, dry ground that could yet unlock something useful. Trained by Mike Murphy at Westoning in Bedfordshire, it races in a busy yard that has already sent out 15 winners this season.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Showcasing
Mother
Ultimate Aim
Owner
Ms Denise Tibbett
Official rating
57

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
28
Career races
4
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
27 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The horse's recent form tells an interesting story. It won two of its last six races, most recently at Windsor on 29 June, which makes that victory now three months in the past. Before that, it placed first and second within consecutive races, a streak that suggests it was in decent form through the summer. Its last outing, just one day ago, returned a seventh-place finish—not disastrous, but a reminder that Aim For The Bull remains inconsistent.

The real pattern emerges when you look at ground conditions. Aim For The Bull has won 2 of 4 races on fast, dry ground, a 50% win rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. This is a horse that genuinely thrives when the track is quick underfoot. It also performs best over middle distances between one mile and a furlong and one mile and two furlongs, winning 2 of 9 races at that trip—a 22% rate that is respectable at this level. Set it on wet or soft ground at a distance outside its sweet spot, and the chances narrow considerably. The horse struggles in Class 6 company, where it has won only once from 17 attempts, suggesting it gets outpaced by stronger fields. But target it at the right track, on the right day, with dry conditions and a sympathetic distance, and Aim For The Bull has already proved it can find the line.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 22% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at chelmsford in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
21 Sep
7th
Leicester
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners
31 Aug
14th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
29 Jun
🏆 Won
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
29 May
🏆 Won
Brighton
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
6 May
4th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
11 Apr
4th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
25 Mar
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
11 Mar
7th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
24 Feb
🏆 Won
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
12 Feb
7th
chelmsford
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
50%
Win rate
2/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
Alfie Redman Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 second, 5 other 31 Aug 14.3%
chelmsford 5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 12 Feb 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 6 May 25%
Brighton
Undulating
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 29 May 33.3%
Leicester
Sharp
3 3 other 21 Sep 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Aug 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 win 29 Jun 100%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Nov 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 second 2 Sep 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Nov 0%