Since then, though, things have stalled. Adaay of Scarlett has not won in the last six races, though it has still found the finish line in the top three twice during that stretch—finishing second on two occasions most recently. The pattern in those six runs reads 7-6-7-5-2-2, which shows some inconsistency: two strong top-three finishes bookended by races where the horse was nowhere near competitive. That kind of form is frustrating, the racing equivalent of a young athlete with genuine talent who has not quite figured out how to deliver it consistently.
Hugo Palmer, who trains the horse at Malpas in Cheshire, has sent out 67 winners this season, so the yard clearly knows what it is doing. Adaay of Scarlett raced as recently as yesterday, meaning the team is still actively testing the waters with it, still looking for that spark. At two years old, the horse has time to develop and rediscover the form that brought those two early wins. Whether it does will depend on finding the right race, the right ground, and the right conditions—and whether this young horse can replicate what it showed at Newmarket and Ascot six months ago.
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot Galloping |
3 | 1 win, 1 second, 1 other | 17 Oct | 33.3% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
2 | 1 win, 1 second | 9 Jul | 50% |
| Sandown Park Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 28 May | 0% |
| York Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 21 Aug | 0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 5 Sep | 0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 19 Sep | 0% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
1 | 1 second | 30 Jul | 0% |